Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer

Applying an accurate parametric prediction model to identify abnormal or false pressurizer water levels (PWLs) is critical to the safe operation of marine pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Recently, deep-learning-based models have proved to be a powerful feature extractor to perform high-accuracy p...

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Main Authors: Jin Zhang, Xiaolong Wang, Cheng Zhao, Wei Bai, Jun Shen, Yang Li, Zhisong Pan, Yexin Duan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-07-01
Series:Nuclear Engineering and Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573319304218
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author Jin Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Cheng Zhao
Wei Bai
Jun Shen
Yang Li
Zhisong Pan
Yexin Duan
author_facet Jin Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Cheng Zhao
Wei Bai
Jun Shen
Yang Li
Zhisong Pan
Yexin Duan
author_sort Jin Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Applying an accurate parametric prediction model to identify abnormal or false pressurizer water levels (PWLs) is critical to the safe operation of marine pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Recently, deep-learning-based models have proved to be a powerful feature extractor to perform high-accuracy prediction. However, the effectiveness of models still suffers from two issues in PWL prediction: the correlations shifting over time between PWL and other feature parameters, and the example imbalance between fluctuation examples (minority) and stable examples (majority). To address these problems, we propose a cost-sensitive mechanism to facilitate the model to learn the feature representation of later examples and fluctuation examples. By weighting the standard mean square error loss with a cost-sensitive factor, we develop a Cost-Sensitive Long Short-Term Memory (CSLSTM) model to predict the PWL of PWRs. The overall performance of the CSLSTM is assessed by a variety of evaluation metrics with the experimental data collected from a marine PWR simulator. The comparisons with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model demonstrate the effectiveness of the CSLSTM.
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spelling doaj.art-0c38ea4bc4764192b9694b0c80686a832022-12-21T18:52:49ZengElsevierNuclear Engineering and Technology1738-57332020-07-0152714291435Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizerJin Zhang0Xiaolong Wang1Cheng Zhao2Wei Bai3Jun Shen4Yang Li5Zhisong Pan6Yexin Duan7Command and Control Engineering College, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing, 210000, China; Zhenjiang Campus, Army Military Transportation University of PLA, Zhenjiang, 212003, ChinaCollege of Nuclear Science and Technology, Naval University of Engineering, Wuhan, 430033, ChinaCommand and Control Engineering College, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing, 210000, China; Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Network and Information Security, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu, 241000, ChinaCommand and Control Engineering College, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing, 210000, ChinaZhenjiang Campus, Army Military Transportation University of PLA, Zhenjiang, 212003, ChinaCommand and Control Engineering College, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing, 210000, ChinaCommand and Control Engineering College, Army Engineering University of PLA, Nanjing, 210000, China; Corresponding author.Zhenjiang Campus, Army Military Transportation University of PLA, Zhenjiang, 212003, China; Corresponding author.Applying an accurate parametric prediction model to identify abnormal or false pressurizer water levels (PWLs) is critical to the safe operation of marine pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Recently, deep-learning-based models have proved to be a powerful feature extractor to perform high-accuracy prediction. However, the effectiveness of models still suffers from two issues in PWL prediction: the correlations shifting over time between PWL and other feature parameters, and the example imbalance between fluctuation examples (minority) and stable examples (majority). To address these problems, we propose a cost-sensitive mechanism to facilitate the model to learn the feature representation of later examples and fluctuation examples. By weighting the standard mean square error loss with a cost-sensitive factor, we develop a Cost-Sensitive Long Short-Term Memory (CSLSTM) model to predict the PWL of PWRs. The overall performance of the CSLSTM is assessed by a variety of evaluation metrics with the experimental data collected from a marine PWR simulator. The comparisons with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model demonstrate the effectiveness of the CSLSTM.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573319304218LSTMParameter predictionCost sensitivePressurizerPressurized water reactorTime series
spellingShingle Jin Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Cheng Zhao
Wei Bai
Jun Shen
Yang Li
Zhisong Pan
Yexin Duan
Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
Nuclear Engineering and Technology
LSTM
Parameter prediction
Cost sensitive
Pressurizer
Pressurized water reactor
Time series
title Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
title_full Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
title_fullStr Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
title_full_unstemmed Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
title_short Application of cost-sensitive LSTM in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
title_sort application of cost sensitive lstm in water level prediction for nuclear reactor pressurizer
topic LSTM
Parameter prediction
Cost sensitive
Pressurizer
Pressurized water reactor
Time series
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1738573319304218
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