Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model

Weather prediction and meteorological analysis contribute significantly towards sustainable development to reduce the damage from extreme events which could otherwise set-back the progress in development by years. The change in surface temperature is one of the important indicators in detecting clim...

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Main Authors: Masooma Ali Raza Suleman, S. Shridevi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9849651/
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author Masooma Ali Raza Suleman
S. Shridevi
author_facet Masooma Ali Raza Suleman
S. Shridevi
author_sort Masooma Ali Raza Suleman
collection DOAJ
description Weather prediction and meteorological analysis contribute significantly towards sustainable development to reduce the damage from extreme events which could otherwise set-back the progress in development by years. The change in surface temperature is one of the important indicators in detecting climate change. In this research, we propose a novel deep learning model named Spatial Feature Attention Long Short-Term Memory (SFA-LSTM) model to capture accurate spatial and temporal relations of multiple meteorological features to forecast temperature. Significant spatial feature and temporal interpretations of historical data aligned directly to output feature helps the model to forecast data accurately. The spatial feature attention captures mutual influence of input features on the target feature. The model is built using encoder-decoder architecture, where the temporal dependencies in data are learnt using LSTM layers in the encoder phase and spatial feature relations in the decoder phase. SFA-LSTM forecasts temperature by simultaneously learning most important time steps and weather variables. When compared with baseline models, SFA-LSTM maintains the state-of the-art prediction accuracy while offering the benefit of appropriate spatial feature interpretability. The learned spatial feature attention weights are validated from magnitude of correlation with target feature obtained from the dataset.
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spelling doaj.art-0c5bee1749e540098b13b64e32ebc2652022-12-22T01:47:42ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110824568246810.1109/ACCESS.2022.31963819849651Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM ModelMasooma Ali Raza Suleman0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1883-2158S. Shridevi1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0038-7212School of Computer Science and Engineering, Vellore Institute of Technology, Chennai, IndiaCentre for Advanced Data Science, Vellore Institute of Technology, Chennai, IndiaWeather prediction and meteorological analysis contribute significantly towards sustainable development to reduce the damage from extreme events which could otherwise set-back the progress in development by years. The change in surface temperature is one of the important indicators in detecting climate change. In this research, we propose a novel deep learning model named Spatial Feature Attention Long Short-Term Memory (SFA-LSTM) model to capture accurate spatial and temporal relations of multiple meteorological features to forecast temperature. Significant spatial feature and temporal interpretations of historical data aligned directly to output feature helps the model to forecast data accurately. The spatial feature attention captures mutual influence of input features on the target feature. The model is built using encoder-decoder architecture, where the temporal dependencies in data are learnt using LSTM layers in the encoder phase and spatial feature relations in the decoder phase. SFA-LSTM forecasts temperature by simultaneously learning most important time steps and weather variables. When compared with baseline models, SFA-LSTM maintains the state-of the-art prediction accuracy while offering the benefit of appropriate spatial feature interpretability. The learned spatial feature attention weights are validated from magnitude of correlation with target feature obtained from the dataset.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9849651/Sustainable environmental developmentweather forecastingrecurrent neural network (RNN)long short-term memory (LSTM)spatial feature
spellingShingle Masooma Ali Raza Suleman
S. Shridevi
Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
IEEE Access
Sustainable environmental development
weather forecasting
recurrent neural network (RNN)
long short-term memory (LSTM)
spatial feature
title Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
title_full Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
title_fullStr Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
title_short Short-Term Weather Forecasting Using Spatial Feature Attention Based LSTM Model
title_sort short term weather forecasting using spatial feature attention based lstm model
topic Sustainable environmental development
weather forecasting
recurrent neural network (RNN)
long short-term memory (LSTM)
spatial feature
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9849651/
work_keys_str_mv AT masoomaalirazasuleman shorttermweatherforecastingusingspatialfeatureattentionbasedlstmmodel
AT sshridevi shorttermweatherforecastingusingspatialfeatureattentionbasedlstmmodel