Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program

Objective: Hidden knowledge could be discovered within a large practical data of in vitro fertilization (IVF) practice. In this study, Machine learning-based data mining techniques were utilized to construct a reliable prediction model for clinical pregnancy in IVF. Study Design: A retrospective coh...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nining Handayani, Claudio Michael Louis, Alva Erwin, Tri Aprilliana, Arie A Polim, Batara Sirait, Arief Boediono, Ivan Sini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing 2022-06-01
Series:Fertility & Reproduction
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661318222500098
_version_ 1797257502877810688
author Nining Handayani
Claudio Michael Louis
Alva Erwin
Tri Aprilliana
Arie A Polim
Batara Sirait
Arief Boediono
Ivan Sini
author_facet Nining Handayani
Claudio Michael Louis
Alva Erwin
Tri Aprilliana
Arie A Polim
Batara Sirait
Arief Boediono
Ivan Sini
author_sort Nining Handayani
collection DOAJ
description Objective: Hidden knowledge could be discovered within a large practical data of in vitro fertilization (IVF) practice. In this study, Machine learning-based data mining techniques were utilized to construct a reliable prediction model for clinical pregnancy in IVF. Study Design: A retrospective cohort multicenter study involving 4.570 IVF cycles. All patients underwent fresh embryo transfer at either the cleavage or blastocyst stage between January 2015 and December 2019. The experiment focused on utilizing tree-based classifiers to generate and compare the most effective prediction model that could predict a clinical pregnancy through clinical data. Additionally, each classifier is optimized via a genetic algorithm technique, along with the selection of variables. Results: Both the decision tree and random forest showed similar performance that was much better than the gradient boost. The two superior classifiers achieved a balanced accuracy of roughly 0.62. Additionally, each prediction model was shown to work optimally with different combinations of variables, with some variables being consistently included, such as female age, and some consistently excluded, which provides an insight into the relationship between the variables and each prediction model. Conclusion: Machine learning algorithm remains effective for the purpose of data mining and knowledge extraction in IVF clinical datasets through which a relatively reliable prediction system for clinical pregnancy could be constructed, provided the available data is sufficient.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T22:38:40Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0c8c7abca04443948947f05cdba471db
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2661-3182
2661-3174
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T22:38:40Z
publishDate 2022-06-01
publisher World Scientific Publishing
record_format Article
series Fertility & Reproduction
spelling doaj.art-0c8c7abca04443948947f05cdba471db2024-03-19T06:37:22ZengWorld Scientific PublishingFertility & Reproduction2661-31822661-31742022-06-010402778710.1142/S2661318222500098Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF ProgramNining Handayani0Claudio Michael Louis1Alva Erwin2Tri Aprilliana3Arie A Polim4Batara Sirait5Arief Boediono6Ivan Sini7Morula IVF Jakarta Clinic, Jakarta, IndonesiaIRSI Research and Training Centre, Jakarta, IndonesiaIRSI Research and Training Centre, Jakarta, IndonesiaIRSI Research and Training Centre, Jakarta, IndonesiaMorula IVF Jakarta Clinic, Jakarta, IndonesiaMorula IVF Jakarta Clinic, Jakarta, IndonesiaMorula IVF Jakarta Clinic, Jakarta, IndonesiaMorula IVF Jakarta Clinic, Jakarta, IndonesiaObjective: Hidden knowledge could be discovered within a large practical data of in vitro fertilization (IVF) practice. In this study, Machine learning-based data mining techniques were utilized to construct a reliable prediction model for clinical pregnancy in IVF. Study Design: A retrospective cohort multicenter study involving 4.570 IVF cycles. All patients underwent fresh embryo transfer at either the cleavage or blastocyst stage between January 2015 and December 2019. The experiment focused on utilizing tree-based classifiers to generate and compare the most effective prediction model that could predict a clinical pregnancy through clinical data. Additionally, each classifier is optimized via a genetic algorithm technique, along with the selection of variables. Results: Both the decision tree and random forest showed similar performance that was much better than the gradient boost. The two superior classifiers achieved a balanced accuracy of roughly 0.62. Additionally, each prediction model was shown to work optimally with different combinations of variables, with some variables being consistently included, such as female age, and some consistently excluded, which provides an insight into the relationship between the variables and each prediction model. Conclusion: Machine learning algorithm remains effective for the purpose of data mining and knowledge extraction in IVF clinical datasets through which a relatively reliable prediction system for clinical pregnancy could be constructed, provided the available data is sufficient.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661318222500098In Vitro FertilizationPrediction ModelDecision TreeMachine LearningArtificial Intelligence
spellingShingle Nining Handayani
Claudio Michael Louis
Alva Erwin
Tri Aprilliana
Arie A Polim
Batara Sirait
Arief Boediono
Ivan Sini
Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
Fertility & Reproduction
In Vitro Fertilization
Prediction Model
Decision Tree
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
title Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
title_full Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
title_fullStr Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
title_short Machine Learning Approach to Predict Clinical Pregnancy Potential in Women Undergoing IVF Program
title_sort machine learning approach to predict clinical pregnancy potential in women undergoing ivf program
topic In Vitro Fertilization
Prediction Model
Decision Tree
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S2661318222500098
work_keys_str_mv AT nininghandayani machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT claudiomichaellouis machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT alvaerwin machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT triaprilliana machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT arieapolim machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT batarasirait machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT ariefboediono machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram
AT ivansini machinelearningapproachtopredictclinicalpregnancypotentialinwomenundergoingivfprogram