Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation

Abstract Flood frequency is commonly defined by natural flood characteristics such as flood peak, volume and duration. However, for floods at reservoir site, reservoir operation will significantly alter the natural flood process and flood frequency. This article presents a framework of routed flood...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ting Zhou, Juliang Jin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-09-01
Series:Journal of Flood Risk Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12705
_version_ 1819112510464196608
author Ting Zhou
Juliang Jin
author_facet Ting Zhou
Juliang Jin
author_sort Ting Zhou
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Flood frequency is commonly defined by natural flood characteristics such as flood peak, volume and duration. However, for floods at reservoir site, reservoir operation will significantly alter the natural flood process and flood frequency. This article presents a framework of routed flood frequency which incorporates multi‐reservoir flood correlation and considers the effect of reservoir operation. Aggregated flood volume during reservoir operation has been adopted as indicator for the routed flood frequency curve (RFFC). A comparison has been made with a 62‐year series of historic flood inflows observed at two parallel reservoirs in Eastern China. By comparing the derived RFFC with traditional univariate and bivariate flood frequency results, it can be seen that the RFFC results provide a reasonable estimation of flood frequency. A sensitivity analysis indicated that the reservoir maximum release allocation has significant impact on RFFC, and a balanced allocation of flood peak can greatly decrease the overtopping risk. The “peak–peak” contour lines of the RFFC show that there are different flood combination zones which need different operation strategies in real‐time operation. Our findings improve the understanding of flood frequency concepts when considering the impact of reservoir operation and provide reference to manage real‐time reservoir operation.
first_indexed 2024-12-22T04:14:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0c8d83d4fe89481d940e0c097a0a01d0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1753-318X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-22T04:14:39Z
publishDate 2021-09-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Flood Risk Management
spelling doaj.art-0c8d83d4fe89481d940e0c097a0a01d02022-12-21T18:39:26ZengWileyJournal of Flood Risk Management1753-318X2021-09-01143n/an/a10.1111/jfr3.12705Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operationTing Zhou0Juliang Jin1College of Engineering Anhui Agricultural University Hefei Anhui Province ChinaDepartment of Hydraulic and Hydropower Engineering Hefei University of Technology Hefei Anhui Province ChinaAbstract Flood frequency is commonly defined by natural flood characteristics such as flood peak, volume and duration. However, for floods at reservoir site, reservoir operation will significantly alter the natural flood process and flood frequency. This article presents a framework of routed flood frequency which incorporates multi‐reservoir flood correlation and considers the effect of reservoir operation. Aggregated flood volume during reservoir operation has been adopted as indicator for the routed flood frequency curve (RFFC). A comparison has been made with a 62‐year series of historic flood inflows observed at two parallel reservoirs in Eastern China. By comparing the derived RFFC with traditional univariate and bivariate flood frequency results, it can be seen that the RFFC results provide a reasonable estimation of flood frequency. A sensitivity analysis indicated that the reservoir maximum release allocation has significant impact on RFFC, and a balanced allocation of flood peak can greatly decrease the overtopping risk. The “peak–peak” contour lines of the RFFC show that there are different flood combination zones which need different operation strategies in real‐time operation. Our findings improve the understanding of flood frequency concepts when considering the impact of reservoir operation and provide reference to manage real‐time reservoir operation.https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12705copula distributionovertopping riskparallel reservoirsreservoir flood control operationrouted flood frequency curve
spellingShingle Ting Zhou
Juliang Jin
Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
Journal of Flood Risk Management
copula distribution
overtopping risk
parallel reservoirs
reservoir flood control operation
routed flood frequency curve
title Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
title_full Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
title_fullStr Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
title_full_unstemmed Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
title_short Comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
title_sort comparative analysis of routed flood frequency for reservoirs in parallel incorporating bivariate flood frequency and reservoir operation
topic copula distribution
overtopping risk
parallel reservoirs
reservoir flood control operation
routed flood frequency curve
url https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12705
work_keys_str_mv AT tingzhou comparativeanalysisofroutedfloodfrequencyforreservoirsinparallelincorporatingbivariatefloodfrequencyandreservoiroperation
AT juliangjin comparativeanalysisofroutedfloodfrequencyforreservoirsinparallelincorporatingbivariatefloodfrequencyandreservoiroperation