Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model

Today, the rising surface temperature of the planet and its effects on the water cycle have attracted the attention of many researchers. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of climate change on the Tajan (the upstream of Shahid Rajaei dam) catchment area. In order to study the output...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: S. Nikkhoo Amiri, M. Khoshravesh, R. Norooz Valashedi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Isfahan University of Technology 2019-12-01
Series:علوم آب و خاک
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jstnar.iut.ac.ir/article-1-3719-en.html
_version_ 1818896866521120768
author S. Nikkhoo Amiri
M. Khoshravesh
R. Norooz Valashedi
author_facet S. Nikkhoo Amiri
M. Khoshravesh
R. Norooz Valashedi
author_sort S. Nikkhoo Amiri
collection DOAJ
description Today, the rising surface temperature of the planet and its effects on the water cycle have attracted the attention of many researchers. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of climate change on the Tajan (the upstream of Shahid Rajaei dam) catchment area. In order to study the output of CanESM2 model, the SDSM method was used to estimate the magnitude of the data. Flow discharge changes in Shahid Rajaei Dam were simulated using the weather data of Kiasar synoptic station and the temperature and precipitation changes were simulated using the climate scenarios of RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 for the 2016-2066 period. Also, the effect of different scenarios on the outflow of the Soleiman Tangeh hydrometric station was evaluated by SWAT hydrologic model. The results showed that the annual precipitation would be decreased by 58% and the air temperature would be increased by 14% under RCP2.6 scenario. Also, in the RCP8.5 scenario, precipitation would be decreased by 59.5% and the temperature would be increased by 21%. Peak discharge for RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios would be increased by 4% and 5.7%, respectively, and the average annual discharge might be decreased by 16% and 16.5% in the future period (2016-2066). Therefore, it can be planned by the investigation of conditions for cropping patterns in the downstream to consider the environmental impacts for future periods.
first_indexed 2024-12-19T19:07:05Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0ce46db9bee64e028c79e8ebc8b70926
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2476-3594
2476-5554
language fas
last_indexed 2024-12-19T19:07:05Z
publishDate 2019-12-01
publisher Isfahan University of Technology
record_format Article
series علوم آب و خاک
spelling doaj.art-0ce46db9bee64e028c79e8ebc8b709262022-12-21T20:09:25ZfasIsfahan University of Technologyعلوم آب و خاک2476-35942476-55542019-12-01234211226Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology ModelS. Nikkhoo Amiri0M. Khoshravesh1R. Norooz Valashedi2 1. Water Engineering Department, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran. 1. Water Engineering Department, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran. 1. Water Engineering Department, Sari Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources University, Sari, Iran. Today, the rising surface temperature of the planet and its effects on the water cycle have attracted the attention of many researchers. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of climate change on the Tajan (the upstream of Shahid Rajaei dam) catchment area. In order to study the output of CanESM2 model, the SDSM method was used to estimate the magnitude of the data. Flow discharge changes in Shahid Rajaei Dam were simulated using the weather data of Kiasar synoptic station and the temperature and precipitation changes were simulated using the climate scenarios of RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 for the 2016-2066 period. Also, the effect of different scenarios on the outflow of the Soleiman Tangeh hydrometric station was evaluated by SWAT hydrologic model. The results showed that the annual precipitation would be decreased by 58% and the air temperature would be increased by 14% under RCP2.6 scenario. Also, in the RCP8.5 scenario, precipitation would be decreased by 59.5% and the temperature would be increased by 21%. Peak discharge for RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios would be increased by 4% and 5.7%, respectively, and the average annual discharge might be decreased by 16% and 16.5% in the future period (2016-2066). Therefore, it can be planned by the investigation of conditions for cropping patterns in the downstream to consider the environmental impacts for future periods.http://jstnar.iut.ac.ir/article-1-3719-en.htmlclimate changetajan basinannual dischargecanesm2sdsm.
spellingShingle S. Nikkhoo Amiri
M. Khoshravesh
R. Norooz Valashedi
Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
علوم آب و خاک
climate change
tajan basin
annual discharge
canesm2
sdsm.
title Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
title_full Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
title_fullStr Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
title_full_unstemmed Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
title_short Investigation the Effect of Climate Change on the Flow Discharge of Shahid Rajaei Dam with SAWT Hydrology Model
title_sort investigation the effect of climate change on the flow discharge of shahid rajaei dam with sawt hydrology model
topic climate change
tajan basin
annual discharge
canesm2
sdsm.
url http://jstnar.iut.ac.ir/article-1-3719-en.html
work_keys_str_mv AT snikkhooamiri investigationtheeffectofclimatechangeontheflowdischargeofshahidrajaeidamwithsawthydrologymodel
AT mkhoshravesh investigationtheeffectofclimatechangeontheflowdischargeofshahidrajaeidamwithsawthydrologymodel
AT rnoroozvalashedi investigationtheeffectofclimatechangeontheflowdischargeofshahidrajaeidamwithsawthydrologymodel