Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1

Port investment decisions are mainly related to productivity improvement strategies or capacity expansion leading to higher capacity utilization and financial performance. The authors propose an investment decision-making process for future port infrastructure investments taking into account various...

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Main Authors: Ioannis N. Lagoudis, James B. Rice Jr, Jason B. Salminen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2014-12-01
Series:Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521214000546
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author Ioannis N. Lagoudis
James B. Rice Jr
Jason B. Salminen
author_facet Ioannis N. Lagoudis
James B. Rice Jr
Jason B. Salminen
author_sort Ioannis N. Lagoudis
collection DOAJ
description Port investment decisions are mainly related to productivity improvement strategies or capacity expansion leading to higher capacity utilization and financial performance. The authors propose an investment decision-making process for future port infrastructure investments taking into account various uncertainties, which can impact the return of the investment over the project's useful life. The methodology has been applied on the expansion evaluation of warehousing facilities in a multipurpose port. For the evaluation of the alternatives, the expected net present value (ENPV) is based on earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Results show that the investment strategy for a new 4-level warehouse with a flexible option was the optimal choice when compared with strategies of similar scale. However, depending on the emphasis placed on the various investment metrics the optimal investment strategy seems to be closer to a non-flexible 5-level warehouse.
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spelling doaj.art-0d00c3402cf5486497a12489892a2af82022-12-22T01:25:04ZengElsevierAsian Journal of Shipping and Logistics2092-52122014-12-0130329931910.1016/j.ajsl.2014.12.003Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1Ioannis N. Lagoudis0James B. Rice Jr1Jason B. Salminen2Assistant Professor, MIT Global SCALE Network, Malaysia Institute for Supply Chain Innovation, MalaysiaDeputy Director, MIT – Center for Transportation and Logistics, USAMSc Graduate, MIT Supply Chain Management, USAPort investment decisions are mainly related to productivity improvement strategies or capacity expansion leading to higher capacity utilization and financial performance. The authors propose an investment decision-making process for future port infrastructure investments taking into account various uncertainties, which can impact the return of the investment over the project's useful life. The methodology has been applied on the expansion evaluation of warehousing facilities in a multipurpose port. For the evaluation of the alternatives, the expected net present value (ENPV) is based on earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Results show that the investment strategy for a new 4-level warehouse with a flexible option was the optimal choice when compared with strategies of similar scale. However, depending on the emphasis placed on the various investment metrics the optimal investment strategy seems to be closer to a non-flexible 5-level warehouse.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521214000546PortInvestmentUncertaintyDecision-Making
spellingShingle Ioannis N. Lagoudis
James B. Rice Jr
Jason B. Salminen
Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Port
Investment
Uncertainty
Decision-Making
title Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
title_full Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
title_fullStr Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
title_full_unstemmed Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
title_short Port Investment Strategies under Uncertainty: The Case of a Southeast Asian Multipurpose Port1
title_sort port investment strategies under uncertainty the case of a southeast asian multipurpose port1
topic Port
Investment
Uncertainty
Decision-Making
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521214000546
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AT jasonbsalminen portinvestmentstrategiesunderuncertaintythecaseofasoutheastasianmultipurposeport1