SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES

Background and Objective: Currently the subject of public debate in Poland are potential demographic problems. Researchers predict, that the population of Poland will begin to decline. Due to demographic forecast, Polish government introduced “The Family 500+” Program, aimed at improving the number...

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Main Author: Maciej Ekert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Gdańsk University of Technology 2022-06-01
Series:Research on Enterprise in Modern Economy Theory and Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.mostwiedzy.pl/reme/article/view/2689
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author Maciej Ekert
author_facet Maciej Ekert
author_sort Maciej Ekert
collection DOAJ
description Background and Objective: Currently the subject of public debate in Poland are potential demographic problems. Researchers predict, that the population of Poland will begin to decline. Due to demographic forecast, Polish government introduced “The Family 500+” Program, aimed at improving the number of live births From the moment of its introduction, there were voices supporting the actions of the then government, as well as critical due to the possibility of negative effects on the country’s economy. The debate and research conducted so far have not answered the question whether the new benefit of PLN 500 actually increases the number of live births. Study Design/Materials and Methods: The article presents two econometric models presenting possible factors influencing the value of live births. The data used for the study come from the Central Statistical Office and the European Statistical Office, and their analysis was performed for the period between Q1 2010 and Q2 2020. Results: The conducted research has shown that the “Family 500+” program has no significant impact on the number of live births in Poland. Practical implications: Research in the form of creating econometric models can be used in reforming public policy in the field of demography. Conclusion and summary: The analysis of the “Family 500+” program to date has shown that the solution introduced by Beata Szydło’s government has no significant impact on improving the demographic situation of Polish society. The article is also a suggestion for politicians and demographers to carry out a reform in this area.
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spelling doaj.art-0d463e11e2224536a98ce0e5efe790332022-12-22T01:38:42ZengGdańsk University of TechnologyResearch on Enterprise in Modern Economy Theory and Practice2084-64952022-06-0113410.19253/reme.2022.01.001SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLESMaciej Ekert0University of Gdańsk Background and Objective: Currently the subject of public debate in Poland are potential demographic problems. Researchers predict, that the population of Poland will begin to decline. Due to demographic forecast, Polish government introduced “The Family 500+” Program, aimed at improving the number of live births From the moment of its introduction, there were voices supporting the actions of the then government, as well as critical due to the possibility of negative effects on the country’s economy. The debate and research conducted so far have not answered the question whether the new benefit of PLN 500 actually increases the number of live births. Study Design/Materials and Methods: The article presents two econometric models presenting possible factors influencing the value of live births. The data used for the study come from the Central Statistical Office and the European Statistical Office, and their analysis was performed for the period between Q1 2010 and Q2 2020. Results: The conducted research has shown that the “Family 500+” program has no significant impact on the number of live births in Poland. Practical implications: Research in the form of creating econometric models can be used in reforming public policy in the field of demography. Conclusion and summary: The analysis of the “Family 500+” program to date has shown that the solution introduced by Beata Szydło’s government has no significant impact on improving the demographic situation of Polish society. The article is also a suggestion for politicians and demographers to carry out a reform in this area. https://journal.mostwiedzy.pl/reme/article/view/2689econometric modelchild-support benefitlive birth
spellingShingle Maciej Ekert
SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
Research on Enterprise in Modern Economy Theory and Practice
econometric model
child-support benefit
live birth
title SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
title_full SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
title_fullStr SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
title_full_unstemmed SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
title_short SUBJECT: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF THE “FAMILY 500+” PROGRAM – A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF THE SOCIAL BENEFIT ON THE FERTILITY OF POLES
title_sort subject econometric analysis of the family 500 program a study of the impact of the social benefit on the fertility of poles
topic econometric model
child-support benefit
live birth
url https://journal.mostwiedzy.pl/reme/article/view/2689
work_keys_str_mv AT maciejekert subjecteconometricanalysisofthefamily500programastudyoftheimpactofthesocialbenefitonthefertilityofpoles