On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market

The mainstream of EU policies is heading towards the conversion of the nowadays electricity consumer into the future electricity prosumer (producer and consumer) in markets in which the production of electricity will be more local, renewable and economically efficient. One key component of a local s...

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Main Authors: Diego Aineto, Javier Iranzo-Sánchez, Lenin G. Lemus-Zúñiga, Eva Onaindia, Javier F. Urchueguía
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-05-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/11/2082
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author Diego Aineto
Javier Iranzo-Sánchez
Lenin G. Lemus-Zúñiga
Eva Onaindia
Javier F. Urchueguía
author_facet Diego Aineto
Javier Iranzo-Sánchez
Lenin G. Lemus-Zúñiga
Eva Onaindia
Javier F. Urchueguía
author_sort Diego Aineto
collection DOAJ
description The mainstream of EU policies is heading towards the conversion of the nowadays electricity consumer into the future electricity prosumer (producer and consumer) in markets in which the production of electricity will be more local, renewable and economically efficient. One key component of a local short-term and medium-term planning tool to enable actors to efficiently interact in the electric pool markets is the ability to predict and decide on forecast prices. Given the progressively more important role of renewable production in local markets, we analyze the influence of renewable energy production on the electricity price in the Iberian market through historical records. The dependencies discovered in this analysis will serve to identify the forecasts to use as explanatory variables for an electricity price forecasting model based on recurrent neural networks. The results will show the wide impact of using forecasted renewable energy production in the price forecasting.
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spelling doaj.art-0d625b45dfbd459abb62d85ea88cc90b2022-12-22T04:22:22ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732019-05-011211208210.3390/en12112082en12112082On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian MarketDiego Aineto0Javier Iranzo-Sánchez1Lenin G. Lemus-Zúñiga2Eva Onaindia3Javier F. Urchueguía4Departamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainDepartamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainITACA, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainDepartamento de Sistemas Informáticos y Computación, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainITACA, Universitat Politècnica de València, 46022 Valencia, SpainThe mainstream of EU policies is heading towards the conversion of the nowadays electricity consumer into the future electricity prosumer (producer and consumer) in markets in which the production of electricity will be more local, renewable and economically efficient. One key component of a local short-term and medium-term planning tool to enable actors to efficiently interact in the electric pool markets is the ability to predict and decide on forecast prices. Given the progressively more important role of renewable production in local markets, we analyze the influence of renewable energy production on the electricity price in the Iberian market through historical records. The dependencies discovered in this analysis will serve to identify the forecasts to use as explanatory variables for an electricity price forecasting model based on recurrent neural networks. The results will show the wide impact of using forecasted renewable energy production in the price forecasting.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/11/2082electricity marketelectricity price forecastingday-ahead marketrecurrent neural networksrenewable energies
spellingShingle Diego Aineto
Javier Iranzo-Sánchez
Lenin G. Lemus-Zúñiga
Eva Onaindia
Javier F. Urchueguía
On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
Energies
electricity market
electricity price forecasting
day-ahead market
recurrent neural networks
renewable energies
title On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
title_full On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
title_fullStr On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
title_full_unstemmed On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
title_short On the Influence of Renewable Energy Sources in Electricity Price Forecasting in the Iberian Market
title_sort on the influence of renewable energy sources in electricity price forecasting in the iberian market
topic electricity market
electricity price forecasting
day-ahead market
recurrent neural networks
renewable energies
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/11/2082
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