The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises

This study contributes to the ongoing debate on the size effect and size-based investment styles by investigating the return and volatility spillovers and time-varying conditional correlations among Saudi large-, mid-, and small-cap indices. To this end, we utilize the weekly returns on the MSCI Sau...

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Main Author: Nassar S. Al-Nassar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:International Journal of Financial Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/113
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author Nassar S. Al-Nassar
author_facet Nassar S. Al-Nassar
author_sort Nassar S. Al-Nassar
collection DOAJ
description This study contributes to the ongoing debate on the size effect and size-based investment styles by investigating the return and volatility spillovers and time-varying conditional correlations among Saudi large-, mid-, and small-cap indices. To this end, we utilize the weekly returns on the MSCI Saudi large-, mid-, and small-cap indices over a long sample period, spanning several crises. The econometric approach that we use is a VAR-asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model which accounts for structural breaks. On the basis of the VAR-asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model estimation results, we calculate portfolio weights and hedge ratios, and discuss their risk management implications. The empirical results confirm the presence of unilateral return spillovers running from mid- to small-cap stocks, while multilateral volatility spillovers are documented, albeit substantially weakened when accounting for structural breaks. The time-varying conditional correlations display clear spikes around crises, which translate to higher hedge ratios, increasing the cost of hedging during turbulent times. The optimal portfolio weights suggest that investors generally overweight large caps in their portfolios during uncertain times to minimize risk without lowering expected returns. The main takeaway from our results is that passively confining fund managers to a particular size category regardless of the prevailing market conditions may lead to suboptimal performance.
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spelling doaj.art-0d6e63513c0b4def86768b1aaf2dc8f12023-09-27T13:11:12ZengMDPI AGInternational Journal of Financial Studies2227-70722023-09-011111311310.3390/ijfs11030113The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different CrisesNassar S. Al-Nassar0Department of Economics and Finance, College of Business and Economics, Qassim University, Buraydah 51452, Saudi ArabiaThis study contributes to the ongoing debate on the size effect and size-based investment styles by investigating the return and volatility spillovers and time-varying conditional correlations among Saudi large-, mid-, and small-cap indices. To this end, we utilize the weekly returns on the MSCI Saudi large-, mid-, and small-cap indices over a long sample period, spanning several crises. The econometric approach that we use is a VAR-asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model which accounts for structural breaks. On the basis of the VAR-asymmetric BEKK-GARCH model estimation results, we calculate portfolio weights and hedge ratios, and discuss their risk management implications. The empirical results confirm the presence of unilateral return spillovers running from mid- to small-cap stocks, while multilateral volatility spillovers are documented, albeit substantially weakened when accounting for structural breaks. The time-varying conditional correlations display clear spikes around crises, which translate to higher hedge ratios, increasing the cost of hedging during turbulent times. The optimal portfolio weights suggest that investors generally overweight large caps in their portfolios during uncertain times to minimize risk without lowering expected returns. The main takeaway from our results is that passively confining fund managers to a particular size category regardless of the prevailing market conditions may lead to suboptimal performance.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/113return-risk spilloverstime-varying correlationshedgingportfolio diversificationsize-based investment stylescrises
spellingShingle Nassar S. Al-Nassar
The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
International Journal of Financial Studies
return-risk spillovers
time-varying correlations
hedging
portfolio diversification
size-based investment styles
crises
title The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
title_full The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
title_fullStr The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
title_full_unstemmed The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
title_short The Dynamic Return and Volatility Spillovers among Size-Based Stock Portfolios in the Saudi Market and Their Portfolio Management Implications during Different Crises
title_sort dynamic return and volatility spillovers among size based stock portfolios in the saudi market and their portfolio management implications during different crises
topic return-risk spillovers
time-varying correlations
hedging
portfolio diversification
size-based investment styles
crises
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7072/11/3/113
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