Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt

The paper seeks to show that sectoral balance-sheet positions can develop along unstable lines as a result of both long-term and special short-term factors. The emergence of balance-sheet problems may therefore render an economy more vulnerable than usual to cyclical decline. This does not mean that...

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Main Author: W.D. MCCLAM
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associazione Economia civile 2014-01-01
Series:PSL Quarterly Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/psl_quarterly_review/article/view/11479
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author W.D. MCCLAM
author_facet W.D. MCCLAM
author_sort W.D. MCCLAM
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description The paper seeks to show that sectoral balance-sheet positions can develop along unstable lines as a result of both long-term and special short-term factors. The emergence of balance-sheet problems may therefore render an economy more vulnerable than usual to cyclical decline. This does not mean that a sharp recession may become unavoidable, but it does have important implications for the mix and strength of macro-economic policy. Attention is focused mainly on debt relationships in the United States, but its conclusions are based partly on comparisons with debt behaviour in Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom.   JEL: E31, F32, E32
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spelling doaj.art-0d81f1a754ca4730a790a6e04baceb9a2023-02-03T16:51:23ZengAssociazione Economia civilePSL Quarterly Review2037-36352037-36432014-01-012811310.13133/2037-3643/11479Inflation, recession and the burden of private debtW.D. MCCLAMThe paper seeks to show that sectoral balance-sheet positions can develop along unstable lines as a result of both long-term and special short-term factors. The emergence of balance-sheet problems may therefore render an economy more vulnerable than usual to cyclical decline. This does not mean that a sharp recession may become unavoidable, but it does have important implications for the mix and strength of macro-economic policy. Attention is focused mainly on debt relationships in the United States, but its conclusions are based partly on comparisons with debt behaviour in Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom.   JEL: E31, F32, E32 https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/psl_quarterly_review/article/view/11479Debtinflationbalance sheet problemsrecessioncyclical decline
spellingShingle W.D. MCCLAM
Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
PSL Quarterly Review
Debt
inflation
balance sheet problems
recession
cyclical decline
title Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
title_full Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
title_fullStr Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
title_full_unstemmed Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
title_short Inflation, recession and the burden of private debt
title_sort inflation recession and the burden of private debt
topic Debt
inflation
balance sheet problems
recession
cyclical decline
url https://rosa.uniroma1.it/rosa04/psl_quarterly_review/article/view/11479
work_keys_str_mv AT wdmcclam inflationrecessionandtheburdenofprivatedebt