A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin

Evapotranspiration (ET) plays an important role in transferring water and converting energy in the land–atmosphere system. Accurately estimating ET is crucial for understanding global climate change, ecological environmental problems, the water cycle, and hydrological processes. Machine learning (ML...

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Main Authors: Xiaoman Jiang, Guoqiang Wang, Yuntao Wang, Jiping Yao, Baolin Xue, Yinglan A
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/9/2234
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author Xiaoman Jiang
Guoqiang Wang
Yuntao Wang
Jiping Yao
Baolin Xue
Yinglan A
author_facet Xiaoman Jiang
Guoqiang Wang
Yuntao Wang
Jiping Yao
Baolin Xue
Yinglan A
author_sort Xiaoman Jiang
collection DOAJ
description Evapotranspiration (ET) plays an important role in transferring water and converting energy in the land–atmosphere system. Accurately estimating ET is crucial for understanding global climate change, ecological environmental problems, the water cycle, and hydrological processes. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been considered as a promising method for estimating ET in recent years. However, due to the limitations associated with the spatial–temporal resolution of the flux tower data commonly used as the target set in ML algorithms, the ability of ML to discover the inherent laws within the data is reduced. In this study, a hybrid framework was established to simulate ET in data-deficient areas. ET simulation results of a coupled model comprising the Budyko function and complementary principle (BC<sub>2021</sub>) were used as the target set of the random forest model, instead of using the flux station observation data. By combining meteorological and hydrological data, the monthly ET of the Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River Basin (IMSYRB) was simulated from 1982 to 2020, and good results were obtained (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.94, MAE = 3.82 mm/mon, RMSE = 5.07 mm/mon). Furthermore, the temporal and spatial variations in ET and the influencing factors were analysed. In the past 40 years, annual ET in the IMSYRB ranged between 241.38 mm and 326.37 mm, showing a fluctuating growth trend (slope = 0.80 mm/yr), and the summer ET accounted for the highest proportion in the year. Spatially, ET in the IMSYRB showed a regular distribution of high ET in the eastern region and low ET in the western area. The high ET value areas gradually expanded from east to west over time, and the area increased continuously, with the largest increase observed in the 1980s. Temperature, precipitation, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were found to be the most important factors affecting ET in the region and play a positive role in promoting ET changes. These results provide an excellent example of long-term and large-scale accurate ET simulations in an area with sparse flux stations.
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spelling doaj.art-0d851570738d43c586c4be9fd8b59f4e2023-11-17T23:37:23ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-04-01159223410.3390/rs15092234A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River BasinXiaoman Jiang0Guoqiang Wang1Yuntao Wang2Jiping Yao3Baolin Xue4Yinglan A5State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaEvapotranspiration (ET) plays an important role in transferring water and converting energy in the land–atmosphere system. Accurately estimating ET is crucial for understanding global climate change, ecological environmental problems, the water cycle, and hydrological processes. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been considered as a promising method for estimating ET in recent years. However, due to the limitations associated with the spatial–temporal resolution of the flux tower data commonly used as the target set in ML algorithms, the ability of ML to discover the inherent laws within the data is reduced. In this study, a hybrid framework was established to simulate ET in data-deficient areas. ET simulation results of a coupled model comprising the Budyko function and complementary principle (BC<sub>2021</sub>) were used as the target set of the random forest model, instead of using the flux station observation data. By combining meteorological and hydrological data, the monthly ET of the Inner Mongolia section of the Yellow River Basin (IMSYRB) was simulated from 1982 to 2020, and good results were obtained (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.94, MAE = 3.82 mm/mon, RMSE = 5.07 mm/mon). Furthermore, the temporal and spatial variations in ET and the influencing factors were analysed. In the past 40 years, annual ET in the IMSYRB ranged between 241.38 mm and 326.37 mm, showing a fluctuating growth trend (slope = 0.80 mm/yr), and the summer ET accounted for the highest proportion in the year. Spatially, ET in the IMSYRB showed a regular distribution of high ET in the eastern region and low ET in the western area. The high ET value areas gradually expanded from east to west over time, and the area increased continuously, with the largest increase observed in the 1980s. Temperature, precipitation, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were found to be the most important factors affecting ET in the region and play a positive role in promoting ET changes. These results provide an excellent example of long-term and large-scale accurate ET simulations in an area with sparse flux stations.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/9/2234machine learningrandom forestactual evapotranspirationspatiotemporal distribution
spellingShingle Xiaoman Jiang
Guoqiang Wang
Yuntao Wang
Jiping Yao
Baolin Xue
Yinglan A
A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
Remote Sensing
machine learning
random forest
actual evapotranspiration
spatiotemporal distribution
title A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
title_full A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
title_fullStr A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
title_full_unstemmed A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
title_short A Hybrid Framework for Simulating Actual Evapotranspiration in Data-Deficient Areas: A Case Study of the Inner Mongolia Section of the Yellow River Basin
title_sort hybrid framework for simulating actual evapotranspiration in data deficient areas a case study of the inner mongolia section of the yellow river basin
topic machine learning
random forest
actual evapotranspiration
spatiotemporal distribution
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/9/2234
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