Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices

The motivation of this paper is to identify the effect of treatment charge (TC) on LME (London Metal Exchange) copper prices. It is a fundamental variable as a supply side factor, because it is related to the smelting process and reflects the level of concentrates market tightness. To examine this q...

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Main Authors: Byungkwon Lim, Hyeon Sook Kim, Jaehwan Park
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-05-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/2/36
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author Byungkwon Lim
Hyeon Sook Kim
Jaehwan Park
author_facet Byungkwon Lim
Hyeon Sook Kim
Jaehwan Park
author_sort Byungkwon Lim
collection DOAJ
description The motivation of this paper is to identify the effect of treatment charge (TC) on LME (London Metal Exchange) copper prices. It is a fundamental variable as a supply side factor, because it is related to the smelting process and reflects the level of concentrates market tightness. To examine this question carefully, the regression model is applied. This paper finds a statistically significant negative link between TC and LME copper prices. It is found that a 10% increase in TC of copper decreases in copper return by 1.8%. Subsequently, the vector autoregression (VAR) model is introduced to consider the impact of TC to copper prices as a permanent effect. It is found that the negative impact of the TC to copper returns dies out quickly. The statistical estimation in this article will provide a good reference for future study.
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spelling doaj.art-0df033560f354204a77c4f54e7c189082023-11-19T23:42:19ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992020-05-01823610.3390/economies8020036Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper PricesByungkwon Lim0Hyeon Sook Kim1Jaehwan Park2Korea Housing Finance Corporation, Pusan 48400, KoreaPublic Procurement Service, Daejeon 35208, KoreaPublic Procurement Service, Daejeon 35208, KoreaThe motivation of this paper is to identify the effect of treatment charge (TC) on LME (London Metal Exchange) copper prices. It is a fundamental variable as a supply side factor, because it is related to the smelting process and reflects the level of concentrates market tightness. To examine this question carefully, the regression model is applied. This paper finds a statistically significant negative link between TC and LME copper prices. It is found that a 10% increase in TC of copper decreases in copper return by 1.8%. Subsequently, the vector autoregression (VAR) model is introduced to consider the impact of TC to copper prices as a permanent effect. It is found that the negative impact of the TC to copper returns dies out quickly. The statistical estimation in this article will provide a good reference for future study.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/2/36<title>Keywords</title>copper spot pricetreatment chargeimpulse responsespeculation<title>JEL Classification</title>
spellingShingle Byungkwon Lim
Hyeon Sook Kim
Jaehwan Park
Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
Economies
<title>Keywords</title>
copper spot price
treatment charge
impulse response
speculation
<title>JEL Classification</title>
title Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
title_full Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
title_fullStr Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
title_full_unstemmed Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
title_short Direct Effect of TC on the LME Copper Prices
title_sort direct effect of tc on the lme copper prices
topic <title>Keywords</title>
copper spot price
treatment charge
impulse response
speculation
<title>JEL Classification</title>
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/2/36
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AT hyeonsookkim directeffectoftconthelmecopperprices
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