A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning

Renewable energy is essential for planet sustainability. Renewable energy output forecasting has a significant impact on making decisions related to operating and managing power systems. Accurate prediction of renewable energy output is vital to ensure grid reliability and permanency and reduce the...

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Main Authors: Ghadah Alkhayat, Rashid Mehmood
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-06-01
Series:Energy and AI
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666546821000148
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author Ghadah Alkhayat
Rashid Mehmood
author_facet Ghadah Alkhayat
Rashid Mehmood
author_sort Ghadah Alkhayat
collection DOAJ
description Renewable energy is essential for planet sustainability. Renewable energy output forecasting has a significant impact on making decisions related to operating and managing power systems. Accurate prediction of renewable energy output is vital to ensure grid reliability and permanency and reduce the risk and cost of the energy market and systems. Deep learning's recent success in many applications has attracted researchers to this field and its promising potential is manifested in the richness of the proposed methods and the increasing number of publications. To facilitate further research and development in this area, this paper provides a review of deep learning-based solar and wind energy forecasting research published during the last five years discussing extensively the data and datasets used in the reviewed works, the data pre-processing methods, deterministic and probabilistic methods, and evaluation and comparison methods. The core characteristics of all the reviewed works are summarised in tabular forms to enable methodological comparisons. The current challenges in the field and future research directions are given. The trends show that hybrid forecasting models are the most used in this field followed by Recurrent Neural Network models including Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit, and in the third place Convolutional Neural Networks. We also find that probabilistic and multistep ahead forecasting methods are gaining more attention. Moreover, we devise a broad taxonomy of the research using the key insights gained from this extensive review, the taxonomy we believe will be vital in understanding the cutting-edge and accelerating innovation in this field.
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spelling doaj.art-0e2cff924c0f40689d929850a0ecd5f32022-12-21T19:51:41ZengElsevierEnergy and AI2666-54682021-06-014100060A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learningGhadah Alkhayat0Rashid Mehmood1Department of Computer Information Systems, Faculty of Computing and Information Technology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi ArabiaHigh Performance Computing Centre, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia; Corresponding author.Renewable energy is essential for planet sustainability. Renewable energy output forecasting has a significant impact on making decisions related to operating and managing power systems. Accurate prediction of renewable energy output is vital to ensure grid reliability and permanency and reduce the risk and cost of the energy market and systems. Deep learning's recent success in many applications has attracted researchers to this field and its promising potential is manifested in the richness of the proposed methods and the increasing number of publications. To facilitate further research and development in this area, this paper provides a review of deep learning-based solar and wind energy forecasting research published during the last five years discussing extensively the data and datasets used in the reviewed works, the data pre-processing methods, deterministic and probabilistic methods, and evaluation and comparison methods. The core characteristics of all the reviewed works are summarised in tabular forms to enable methodological comparisons. The current challenges in the field and future research directions are given. The trends show that hybrid forecasting models are the most used in this field followed by Recurrent Neural Network models including Long Short-Term Memory and Gated Recurrent Unit, and in the third place Convolutional Neural Networks. We also find that probabilistic and multistep ahead forecasting methods are gaining more attention. Moreover, we devise a broad taxonomy of the research using the key insights gained from this extensive review, the taxonomy we believe will be vital in understanding the cutting-edge and accelerating innovation in this field.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666546821000148Deep learningRenewable energy forecastingSolar energyWind energyTaxonomyHybrid methods
spellingShingle Ghadah Alkhayat
Rashid Mehmood
A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
Energy and AI
Deep learning
Renewable energy forecasting
Solar energy
Wind energy
Taxonomy
Hybrid methods
title A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
title_full A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
title_fullStr A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
title_full_unstemmed A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
title_short A review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
title_sort review and taxonomy of wind and solar energy forecasting methods based on deep learning
topic Deep learning
Renewable energy forecasting
Solar energy
Wind energy
Taxonomy
Hybrid methods
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666546821000148
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