Machine Learning-assisted spatiotemporal chaos forecasting

Long-term forecasting of extreme events such as oceanic rogue waves, heat waves, floods, earthquakes, has always been a challenge due to their highly complex dynamics. Recently, machine learning methods have been used for model-free forecasting of physical systems. In this work, we investigated the...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Murr Georges, Coulibaly Saliya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2023-01-01
Series:EPJ Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2023/13/epjconf_eosam2023_13002.pdf
Description
Summary:Long-term forecasting of extreme events such as oceanic rogue waves, heat waves, floods, earthquakes, has always been a challenge due to their highly complex dynamics. Recently, machine learning methods have been used for model-free forecasting of physical systems. In this work, we investigated the ability of these methods to forecast the emergence of extreme events in a spatiotemporal chaotic passive ring cavity by detecting the precursors of high intensity pulses. To this end, we have implemented supervised sequence (precursors) to sequence (pulses) machine learning algorithms, corresponding to a local forecasting of when and where extreme events will appear.
ISSN:2100-014X