Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network

The technical approach to investment, essentially a reflection of an idea that prices move in trends which are determined by the changing attitudes of investors towards a variety of economy, monetary, political and psychological forces). The response of stock prices towards the changes in economic...

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Main Authors: Muhamad Sukor Jaafar, Ismail Ahmad, Zetty Zahureen Mohd Yusoff
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: UiTM Press 2018-12-01
Series:Journal of International Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/29291/1/29291.pdf
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author Muhamad Sukor Jaafar
Ismail Ahmad
Zetty Zahureen Mohd Yusoff
author_facet Muhamad Sukor Jaafar
Ismail Ahmad
Zetty Zahureen Mohd Yusoff
author_sort Muhamad Sukor Jaafar
collection DOAJ
description The technical approach to investment, essentially a reflection of an idea that prices move in trends which are determined by the changing attitudes of investors towards a variety of economy, monetary, political and psychological forces). The response of stock prices towards the changes in economic variables vary from one to another, hence, it makes trading decision to be very complex. Efficiency refers to the ability to produce an acceptable level of output using cost-minimizing input ratio. Thus, in technical analysis, efficiency refers to the ability of the indicators to indicate a good timing of entry and out of the market with profit. The levels of efficiencies are shown by actual output ratios versus expected output ratios. The higher the actual output ratios against the expected output ratios, the higher the efficiency level of the indicators. This research investigates several technical indicators and found none of the indicators reached the efficiency level. To improve the level, this study applies the Artificial Neural Network model that capable to learn the price and the moving average patterns and suggests a new pattern better than the previous, in term of efficiency level. This research found that the improvements are not just to the efficiency but also increase number of trading as per selected period hence, increase the changes of investor decisions to enter and to exit from the market with possibility of a better profit as compared to traditional technical analysis.
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spelling doaj.art-0ec99ea7132a4dc18f73606a10f11a562023-11-29T04:03:20ZengUiTM PressJournal of International Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship2550-14292018-12-013SI1710.24191/jibe.v3iSI.14418Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural NetworkMuhamad Sukor Jaafar0Ismail Ahmad1Zetty Zahureen Mohd Yusoff2Faculty Business and Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor.Faculty Business and Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor.Faculty Business and Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, Selangor.The technical approach to investment, essentially a reflection of an idea that prices move in trends which are determined by the changing attitudes of investors towards a variety of economy, monetary, political and psychological forces). The response of stock prices towards the changes in economic variables vary from one to another, hence, it makes trading decision to be very complex. Efficiency refers to the ability to produce an acceptable level of output using cost-minimizing input ratio. Thus, in technical analysis, efficiency refers to the ability of the indicators to indicate a good timing of entry and out of the market with profit. The levels of efficiencies are shown by actual output ratios versus expected output ratios. The higher the actual output ratios against the expected output ratios, the higher the efficiency level of the indicators. This research investigates several technical indicators and found none of the indicators reached the efficiency level. To improve the level, this study applies the Artificial Neural Network model that capable to learn the price and the moving average patterns and suggests a new pattern better than the previous, in term of efficiency level. This research found that the improvements are not just to the efficiency but also increase number of trading as per selected period hence, increase the changes of investor decisions to enter and to exit from the market with possibility of a better profit as compared to traditional technical analysis.https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/29291/1/29291.pdfmamacdrocstochastictechnical analysis
spellingShingle Muhamad Sukor Jaafar
Ismail Ahmad
Zetty Zahureen Mohd Yusoff
Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
Journal of International Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship
ma
macd
roc
stochastic
technical analysis
title Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
title_full Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
title_fullStr Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
title_short Technical Analysis Efficiency Enhancement in Moving Average Indicator Through Artificial Neural Network
title_sort technical analysis efficiency enhancement in moving average indicator through artificial neural network
topic ma
macd
roc
stochastic
technical analysis
url https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/29291/1/29291.pdf
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