Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output

The integration of large-scale wind and photovoltaic power into modern power grids leads to an imbalance between the supply and demand for resources of the system, where this threatens the safety and stable operation of the grid. The traditional mode of grid dispatch and the capability of regulation...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Min Xu, Yan Cui, Tao Wang, Yaozhong Zhang, Yan Guo, Xiaoying Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/21/8215
_version_ 1797468342298083328
author Min Xu
Yan Cui
Tao Wang
Yaozhong Zhang
Yan Guo
Xiaoying Zhang
author_facet Min Xu
Yan Cui
Tao Wang
Yaozhong Zhang
Yan Guo
Xiaoying Zhang
author_sort Min Xu
collection DOAJ
description The integration of large-scale wind and photovoltaic power into modern power grids leads to an imbalance between the supply and demand for resources of the system, where this threatens the safety and stable operation of the grid. The traditional mode of grid dispatch and the capability of regulation of conventional thermal power units cannot satisfy the demands of grid connection for large-scale renewable energy, where the system requires the compensation and coordinated dispatch of flexible power sources. In light of this problem, this paper establishes a model to quantify the uncertainty in the forecasted outputs of wind and photovoltaic power. This is used to develop forecasts of the output of wind and photovoltaic power for several groups of scenarios, and predictions with the best complementarity are selected as a typical set of scenarios by means of their generation, reduction, and combination. By taking full advantage of the complementarity in the rates of regulation of conventional thermal power and concentrating solar power (CSP), a coordinated model of dispatch for wind power, photovoltaic power, CSP, and thermal power is established for a number of typical combinations of scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in the outputs of wind and photovoltaic power on the dispatch of the power grid is examined, and different modes of dispatch are formulated through simulations to analyze the superiority of the dispatch strategy proposed in this paper in terms of abandoned wind quantity, abandoned solar quantity, and the cost of dispatch.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T19:06:05Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0eed0ba7f4d24003a484d23509cac0ee
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1996-1073
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T19:06:05Z
publishDate 2022-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Energies
spelling doaj.art-0eed0ba7f4d24003a484d23509cac0ee2023-11-24T04:33:32ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-11-011521821510.3390/en15218215Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain OutputMin Xu0Yan Cui1Tao Wang2Yaozhong Zhang3Yan Guo4Xiaoying Zhang5Economic Technology Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaEconomic Technology Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaEconomic Technology Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaEconomic Technology Research Institute of State Grid Gansu Electric Power Company, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaGansu Dentsu Electric Power Engineering Design Consulting Co. LTD, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaCollege of Electrical and Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, ChinaThe integration of large-scale wind and photovoltaic power into modern power grids leads to an imbalance between the supply and demand for resources of the system, where this threatens the safety and stable operation of the grid. The traditional mode of grid dispatch and the capability of regulation of conventional thermal power units cannot satisfy the demands of grid connection for large-scale renewable energy, where the system requires the compensation and coordinated dispatch of flexible power sources. In light of this problem, this paper establishes a model to quantify the uncertainty in the forecasted outputs of wind and photovoltaic power. This is used to develop forecasts of the output of wind and photovoltaic power for several groups of scenarios, and predictions with the best complementarity are selected as a typical set of scenarios by means of their generation, reduction, and combination. By taking full advantage of the complementarity in the rates of regulation of conventional thermal power and concentrating solar power (CSP), a coordinated model of dispatch for wind power, photovoltaic power, CSP, and thermal power is established for a number of typical combinations of scenarios. The influence of uncertainty in the outputs of wind and photovoltaic power on the dispatch of the power grid is examined, and different modes of dispatch are formulated through simulations to analyze the superiority of the dispatch strategy proposed in this paper in terms of abandoned wind quantity, abandoned solar quantity, and the cost of dispatch.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/21/8215wind powerphotovoltaic powerconcentrating solar poweruncertainty in outputs of wind and photovoltaic powermartingale modeltwo-stage optimization
spellingShingle Min Xu
Yan Cui
Tao Wang
Yaozhong Zhang
Yan Guo
Xiaoying Zhang
Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
Energies
wind power
photovoltaic power
concentrating solar power
uncertainty in outputs of wind and photovoltaic power
martingale model
two-stage optimization
title Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
title_full Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
title_fullStr Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
title_short Optimal Dispatch of Wind Power, Photovoltaic Power, Concentrating Solar Power, and Thermal Power in Case of Uncertain Output
title_sort optimal dispatch of wind power photovoltaic power concentrating solar power and thermal power in case of uncertain output
topic wind power
photovoltaic power
concentrating solar power
uncertainty in outputs of wind and photovoltaic power
martingale model
two-stage optimization
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/21/8215
work_keys_str_mv AT minxu optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput
AT yancui optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput
AT taowang optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput
AT yaozhongzhang optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput
AT yanguo optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput
AT xiaoyingzhang optimaldispatchofwindpowerphotovoltaicpowerconcentratingsolarpowerandthermalpowerincaseofuncertainoutput