Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization
Research background: The problem of food security in the country is one of the most pressing problems of our time. At the moment, due to the pandemic, agflation has a very tangible increase in many countries of the world. The authors propose to apply a system analysis to study the mechanism of the i...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2021-01-01
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| Series: | SHS Web of Conferences |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2021/40/shsconf_glob2021_12001.pdf |
| _version_ | 1818939351371874304 |
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| author | Manilov Alexander Chekmarev Oleg Shorenko Irina |
| author_facet | Manilov Alexander Chekmarev Oleg Shorenko Irina |
| author_sort | Manilov Alexander |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Research background: The problem of food security in the country is one of the most pressing problems of our time. At the moment, due to the pandemic, agflation has a very tangible increase in many countries of the world. The authors propose to apply a system analysis to study the mechanism of the influence of various factors on agflation and their interrelationships.
Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to formulate the task of systemic modeling of agflation processes and its impact on the sustainability of food security.
Methods: The authors propose to draw up systems of econometric equations, which are modules combined into one system. Equations in these systems are constructed using regression analysis, and the dependent variables in one equation can be independent in another, and can also be used in different modules. Thus, there is a connection between various equations of one system and the modules of a single system. The whole system is built on the classical model of supply and demand, which reaches equilibrium when the values of the supply and demand variables are equal. But if these variables are equal, a rational level of food consumption by the population must be maintained for the sustainability of food security.
Findings & Value added: The result is the formulation of the task of modeling the influence of factors on agflation. Due to the flexibility of the model, it is possible to trace the impact of each of the factors on the regulation of supply and demand, or how demand and supply are modified when several factors change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-20T06:22:22Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-0efccbecc6124f60b1c9e2e6affe6e7f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2261-2424 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-20T06:22:22Z |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | SHS Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj.art-0efccbecc6124f60b1c9e2e6affe6e7f2022-12-21T19:50:22ZengEDP SciencesSHS Web of Conferences2261-24242021-01-011291200110.1051/shsconf/202112912001shsconf_glob2021_12001Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalizationManilov Alexander0Chekmarev Oleg1Shorenko Irina2Saint-Petersburg State Agrarian University, Faculty of Electrical Power, Department of Higher MathematicsSaint-Petersburg State Agrarian University, Faculty of Economics and management in the agro-industrial complex, Department of Economics and Organization of Agricultural ProductionSaint-Petersburg State Agrarian University, Faculty of Electrical Power, Department of Higher MathematicsResearch background: The problem of food security in the country is one of the most pressing problems of our time. At the moment, due to the pandemic, agflation has a very tangible increase in many countries of the world. The authors propose to apply a system analysis to study the mechanism of the influence of various factors on agflation and their interrelationships. Purpose of the article: The aim of the article is to formulate the task of systemic modeling of agflation processes and its impact on the sustainability of food security. Methods: The authors propose to draw up systems of econometric equations, which are modules combined into one system. Equations in these systems are constructed using regression analysis, and the dependent variables in one equation can be independent in another, and can also be used in different modules. Thus, there is a connection between various equations of one system and the modules of a single system. The whole system is built on the classical model of supply and demand, which reaches equilibrium when the values of the supply and demand variables are equal. But if these variables are equal, a rational level of food consumption by the population must be maintained for the sustainability of food security. Findings & Value added: The result is the formulation of the task of modeling the influence of factors on agflation. Due to the flexibility of the model, it is possible to trace the impact of each of the factors on the regulation of supply and demand, or how demand and supply are modified when several factors change.https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2021/40/shsconf_glob2021_12001.pdfagflationfood securitysystem modelingsupply and demand |
| spellingShingle | Manilov Alexander Chekmarev Oleg Shorenko Irina Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization SHS Web of Conferences agflation food security system modeling supply and demand |
| title | Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| title_full | Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| title_short | Analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security: setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| title_sort | analysis of the influence of factors on agflation as a threat to food security setting the task of system modeling in the context of globalization |
| topic | agflation food security system modeling supply and demand |
| url | https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2021/40/shsconf_glob2021_12001.pdf |
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