A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America

Several attempts to assess regional snow depth trends have been previously made. These studies estimate trends by applying various statistical methods to snow depths, new snowfalls, or their climatological proxies such as snow water equivalents. In most of these studies, inhomogeneities (changepoint...

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Main Authors: Jonathan Woody, Yang Xu, Jamie Dyer, Robert Lund, Anuradha P. Hewaarachchi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-06-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/7/820
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author Jonathan Woody
Yang Xu
Jamie Dyer
Robert Lund
Anuradha P. Hewaarachchi
author_facet Jonathan Woody
Yang Xu
Jamie Dyer
Robert Lund
Anuradha P. Hewaarachchi
author_sort Jonathan Woody
collection DOAJ
description Several attempts to assess regional snow depth trends have been previously made. These studies estimate trends by applying various statistical methods to snow depths, new snowfalls, or their climatological proxies such as snow water equivalents. In most of these studies, inhomogeneities (changepoints) were not accounted for in the analysis. Changepoint features can dramatically influence trend inferences from climate time series. The purpose of this paper is to present a detailed statistical methodology to estimate trends of a time series of daily snow depths that account for changepoint features. The methods are illustrated in the analysis of a daily snow depth data set from North America.
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spelling doaj.art-0f2ccb2608e1412fb90d62ce437e64502023-11-22T01:55:45ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-06-0112782010.3390/atmos12070820A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North AmericaJonathan Woody0Yang Xu1Jamie Dyer2Robert Lund3Anuradha P. Hewaarachchi4Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USADepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USADepartment of Geosciences, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS 39762, USADepartment of Statistics, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USADepartment of Statistics and Computer Science, University of Kelaniya, Kelaniya 11600, Sri LankaSeveral attempts to assess regional snow depth trends have been previously made. These studies estimate trends by applying various statistical methods to snow depths, new snowfalls, or their climatological proxies such as snow water equivalents. In most of these studies, inhomogeneities (changepoints) were not accounted for in the analysis. Changepoint features can dramatically influence trend inferences from climate time series. The purpose of this paper is to present a detailed statistical methodology to estimate trends of a time series of daily snow depths that account for changepoint features. The methods are illustrated in the analysis of a daily snow depth data set from North America.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/7/820changepointsgenetic algorithmssnow trendsstorage modeltime series
spellingShingle Jonathan Woody
Yang Xu
Jamie Dyer
Robert Lund
Anuradha P. Hewaarachchi
A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
Atmosphere
changepoints
genetic algorithms
snow trends
storage model
time series
title A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
title_full A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
title_fullStr A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
title_full_unstemmed A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
title_short A Statistical Analysis of Daily Snow Depth Trends in North America
title_sort statistical analysis of daily snow depth trends in north america
topic changepoints
genetic algorithms
snow trends
storage model
time series
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/7/820
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