On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event

It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed the new analysis described in detail in Varotsos et al. (2015) that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niñ...

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Main Authors: C. A. Varotsos, C. G. Tzanis, N. V. Sarlis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2016-02-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/2007/2016/acp-16-2007-2016.pdf
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author C. A. Varotsos
C. G. Tzanis
N. V. Sarlis
author_facet C. A. Varotsos
C. G. Tzanis
N. V. Sarlis
author_sort C. A. Varotsos
collection DOAJ
description It has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed the new analysis described in detail in Varotsos et al. (2015) that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. In this context, the analysis of the Southern Oscillation Index time series for the period 1876–2015 shows that the running 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong" event and not “one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.
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spelling doaj.art-0f814f82d01544b89482a2d6d43c2d182022-12-22T03:13:23ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242016-02-01162007201110.5194/acp-16-2007-2016On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño eventC. A. Varotsos0C. G. Tzanis1N. V. Sarlis2Climate Research Group, Division of Environmental Physics and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, University Campus Bldg. Phys. V, Athens, 157 84, GreeceClimate Research Group, Division of Environmental Physics and Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Athens, University Campus Bldg. Phys. V, Athens, 157 84, GreeceDepartment of Solid State Physics, Faculty of Physics, School of Science, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis Zografos, 157 84 Athens, GreeceIt has been recently reported that the current 2015–2016 El Niño could become "one of the strongest on record". To further explore this claim, we performed the new analysis described in detail in Varotsos et al. (2015) that allows the detection of precursory signals of the strong El Niño events by using a recently developed non-linear dynamics tool. In this context, the analysis of the Southern Oscillation Index time series for the period 1876–2015 shows that the running 2015–2016 El Niño would be rather a "moderate to strong" or even a "strong" event and not “one of the strongest on record", as that of 1997–1998.https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/2007/2016/acp-16-2007-2016.pdf
spellingShingle C. A. Varotsos
C. G. Tzanis
N. V. Sarlis
On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
title_full On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
title_fullStr On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
title_full_unstemmed On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
title_short On the progress of the 2015–2016 El Niño event
title_sort on the progress of the 2015 2016 el nino event
url https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/16/2007/2016/acp-16-2007-2016.pdf
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