Assessing News Contagion in Finance

The analysis of news in the financial context has gained a prominent interest in the last years. This is because of the possible predictive power of such content especially in terms of associated sentiment/mood. In this paper, we focus on a specific aspect of financial news analysis: how the covered...

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Main Authors: Paola Cerchiello, Giancarlo Nicola
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-02-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/1/5
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author Paola Cerchiello
Giancarlo Nicola
author_facet Paola Cerchiello
Giancarlo Nicola
author_sort Paola Cerchiello
collection DOAJ
description The analysis of news in the financial context has gained a prominent interest in the last years. This is because of the possible predictive power of such content especially in terms of associated sentiment/mood. In this paper, we focus on a specific aspect of financial news analysis: how the covered topics modify according to space and time dimensions. To this purpose, we employ a modified version of topic model LDA, the so-called Structural Topic Model (STM), that takes into account covariates as well. Our aim is to study the possible evolution of topics extracted from two well known news archive—Reuters and Bloomberg—and to investigate a causal effect in the diffusion of the news by means of a Granger causality test. Our results show that both the temporal dynamics and the spatial differentiation matter in the news contagion.
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spelling doaj.art-0fa17c654ca947fba714290bb4c4bc9a2022-12-22T04:03:51ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462018-02-0161510.3390/econometrics6010005econometrics6010005Assessing News Contagion in FinancePaola Cerchiello0Giancarlo Nicola1Department of Economics and Management Science, University of Pavia, Pavia, 27100 Lombardy, ItalyDepartment of Economics and Management Science, University of Pavia, Pavia, 27100 Lombardy, ItalyThe analysis of news in the financial context has gained a prominent interest in the last years. This is because of the possible predictive power of such content especially in terms of associated sentiment/mood. In this paper, we focus on a specific aspect of financial news analysis: how the covered topics modify according to space and time dimensions. To this purpose, we employ a modified version of topic model LDA, the so-called Structural Topic Model (STM), that takes into account covariates as well. Our aim is to study the possible evolution of topics extracted from two well known news archive—Reuters and Bloomberg—and to investigate a causal effect in the diffusion of the news by means of a Granger causality test. Our results show that both the temporal dynamics and the spatial differentiation matter in the news contagion.http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/1/5behavioural financefinancial newsstructural topic modelgranger causality
spellingShingle Paola Cerchiello
Giancarlo Nicola
Assessing News Contagion in Finance
Econometrics
behavioural finance
financial news
structural topic model
granger causality
title Assessing News Contagion in Finance
title_full Assessing News Contagion in Finance
title_fullStr Assessing News Contagion in Finance
title_full_unstemmed Assessing News Contagion in Finance
title_short Assessing News Contagion in Finance
title_sort assessing news contagion in finance
topic behavioural finance
financial news
structural topic model
granger causality
url http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/1/5
work_keys_str_mv AT paolacerchiello assessingnewscontagioninfinance
AT giancarlonicola assessingnewscontagioninfinance