Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?

People typically overestimate how much others are prepared to pay for consumer goods and services. We investigated the extent to which latent beliefs about others’ affluence contribute to this overestimation. In Studies 1, 2a, and 2b we found that participants, on average, judge the other people tak...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: William J. Matthews, Ana I. Gheorghiu, Mitchell J. Callan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2016-01-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15909/jdm15909.pdf
_version_ 1797715959651237888
author William J. Matthews
Ana I. Gheorghiu
Mitchell J. Callan
author_facet William J. Matthews
Ana I. Gheorghiu
Mitchell J. Callan
author_sort William J. Matthews
collection DOAJ
description People typically overestimate how much others are prepared to pay for consumer goods and services. We investigated the extent to which latent beliefs about others’ affluence contribute to this overestimation. In Studies 1, 2a, and 2b we found that participants, on average, judge the other people taking part in the study to “have more money” and “have more disposable income” than themselves. The extent of these beliefs positively correlated with the overestimation of willingness to pay (WTP). Study 3 shows that the link between income-beliefs and WTP is causal, and Studies 4, 5a, and 5b show that it holds in a between-group design with a real financial transaction and is unaffected by accuracy incentives. Study 6 examines estimates of others’ income in more detail and, in conjunction with the earlier studies, indicates that participants’ reported beliefs about others’ affluence depend upon the framing of the question. Together, the data indicate that individual differences in the overestimation effect are partly due to differing affluence-beliefs, and that an overall affluence-estimation bias may contribute to the net tendency to overestimate other people’s willingness to pay.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T08:14:31Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0ff45fcb9e9347698e4b0da8da4253a8
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1930-2975
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T08:14:31Z
publishDate 2016-01-01
publisher Cambridge University Press
record_format Article
series Judgment and Decision Making
spelling doaj.art-0ff45fcb9e9347698e4b0da8da4253a82023-09-02T18:58:12ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752016-01-011112139Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?William J. MatthewsAna I. GheorghiuMitchell J. CallanPeople typically overestimate how much others are prepared to pay for consumer goods and services. We investigated the extent to which latent beliefs about others’ affluence contribute to this overestimation. In Studies 1, 2a, and 2b we found that participants, on average, judge the other people taking part in the study to “have more money” and “have more disposable income” than themselves. The extent of these beliefs positively correlated with the overestimation of willingness to pay (WTP). Study 3 shows that the link between income-beliefs and WTP is causal, and Studies 4, 5a, and 5b show that it holds in a between-group design with a real financial transaction and is unaffected by accuracy incentives. Study 6 examines estimates of others’ income in more detail and, in conjunction with the earlier studies, indicates that participants’ reported beliefs about others’ affluence depend upon the framing of the question. Together, the data indicate that individual differences in the overestimation effect are partly due to differing affluence-beliefs, and that an overall affluence-estimation bias may contribute to the net tendency to overestimate other people’s willingness to pay.http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15909/jdm15909.pdfwillingness to pay wealth-beliefs overestimation better-than-average effect.NAKeywords
spellingShingle William J. Matthews
Ana I. Gheorghiu
Mitchell J. Callan
Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
Judgment and Decision Making
willingness to pay
wealth-beliefs
overestimation
better-than-average effect.NAKeywords
title Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
title_full Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
title_fullStr Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
title_full_unstemmed Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
title_short Why do we overestimate others' willingness to pay?
title_sort why do we overestimate others willingness to pay
topic willingness to pay
wealth-beliefs
overestimation
better-than-average effect.NAKeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15909/jdm15909.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT williamjmatthews whydoweoverestimateotherswillingnesstopay
AT anaigheorghiu whydoweoverestimateotherswillingnesstopay
AT mitchelljcallan whydoweoverestimateotherswillingnesstopay