Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study

Expansive soils go through significant volume changes due to seasonal moisture variations resulting in ground movements. The ground movement related problems are likely to worsen in the future due to climate change. It is important to understand and incorporate likely future changes in design to ens...

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Main Authors: Md Rajibul Karim, Md Mizanur Rahman, Khoi Nguyen, Donald Cameron, Asif Iqbal, Isaac Ahenkorah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-10-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6760
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author Md Rajibul Karim
Md Mizanur Rahman
Khoi Nguyen
Donald Cameron
Asif Iqbal
Isaac Ahenkorah
author_facet Md Rajibul Karim
Md Mizanur Rahman
Khoi Nguyen
Donald Cameron
Asif Iqbal
Isaac Ahenkorah
author_sort Md Rajibul Karim
collection DOAJ
description Expansive soils go through significant volume changes due to seasonal moisture variations resulting in ground movements. The ground movement related problems are likely to worsen in the future due to climate change. It is important to understand and incorporate likely future changes in design to ensure the resilience of structures built on such soils. However, there has been a limited amount of work quantifying the effect of climate change on expansive soils movement and related behaviour of structures. The Thornthwaite Moisture Index (TMI) is one of the commonly used climate classifiers in quantifying the effect of atmospheric boundary on soil behaviour. Using the long-term weather data and predicted future changes under different emission scenarios, a series of TMI maps are developed for South Australia. Potential changes in ground movement are then estimated for a selected area using a simplified methodology where the effect of future climate is captured through changes in TMI. Results indicate that South Australia is likely to face a significant reduction in TMI under all emission scenarios considered in this study. The changes in TMI will lead to a considerable increase in potential ground movement which will influence the behaviour of structures built on them and in some areas may lead to premature failure if not considered in the design.
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spelling doaj.art-1003de4afdf043e196b5437693b95ce82023-11-22T18:08:28ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732021-10-011420676010.3390/en14206760Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case StudyMd Rajibul Karim0Md Mizanur Rahman1Khoi Nguyen2Donald Cameron3Asif Iqbal4Isaac Ahenkorah5UniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaUniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaUniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaUniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaUniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaUniSA STEM, University of South Australia, Mawson Lakes Campus, Adelaide, SA 5095, AustraliaExpansive soils go through significant volume changes due to seasonal moisture variations resulting in ground movements. The ground movement related problems are likely to worsen in the future due to climate change. It is important to understand and incorporate likely future changes in design to ensure the resilience of structures built on such soils. However, there has been a limited amount of work quantifying the effect of climate change on expansive soils movement and related behaviour of structures. The Thornthwaite Moisture Index (TMI) is one of the commonly used climate classifiers in quantifying the effect of atmospheric boundary on soil behaviour. Using the long-term weather data and predicted future changes under different emission scenarios, a series of TMI maps are developed for South Australia. Potential changes in ground movement are then estimated for a selected area using a simplified methodology where the effect of future climate is captured through changes in TMI. Results indicate that South Australia is likely to face a significant reduction in TMI under all emission scenarios considered in this study. The changes in TMI will lead to a considerable increase in potential ground movement which will influence the behaviour of structures built on them and in some areas may lead to premature failure if not considered in the design.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6760expansive soilsground movementsuction depthclimate changeThornthwaite Moisture Index (TMI)
spellingShingle Md Rajibul Karim
Md Mizanur Rahman
Khoi Nguyen
Donald Cameron
Asif Iqbal
Isaac Ahenkorah
Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
Energies
expansive soils
ground movement
suction depth
climate change
Thornthwaite Moisture Index (TMI)
title Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
title_full Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
title_fullStr Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
title_full_unstemmed Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
title_short Changes in Thornthwaite Moisture Index and Reactive Soil Movements under Current and Future Climate Scenarios—A Case Study
title_sort changes in thornthwaite moisture index and reactive soil movements under current and future climate scenarios a case study
topic expansive soils
ground movement
suction depth
climate change
Thornthwaite Moisture Index (TMI)
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/20/6760
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