Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers

Childhood obesity is a public health concern in the United States. Consequences of childhood obesity include metabolic disease and heart, lung, kidney, and other health-related comorbidities. Therefore, the early determination of obesity risk is needed and predicting the trend of a child’s body mass...

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Main Authors: Pritom Kumar Mondal, Kamrul H. Foysal, Bryan A. Norman, Lisaann S. Gittner
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/2/759
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author Pritom Kumar Mondal
Kamrul H. Foysal
Bryan A. Norman
Lisaann S. Gittner
author_facet Pritom Kumar Mondal
Kamrul H. Foysal
Bryan A. Norman
Lisaann S. Gittner
author_sort Pritom Kumar Mondal
collection DOAJ
description Childhood obesity is a public health concern in the United States. Consequences of childhood obesity include metabolic disease and heart, lung, kidney, and other health-related comorbidities. Therefore, the early determination of obesity risk is needed and predicting the trend of a child’s body mass index (BMI) at an early age is crucial. Early identification of obesity can lead to early prevention. Multiple methods have been tested and evaluated to assess obesity trends in children. Available growth charts help determine a child’s current obesity level but do not predict future obesity risk. The present methods of predicting obesity include regression analysis and machine learning-based classifications and risk factor (threshold)-based categorizations based on specific criteria. All the present techniques, especially current machine learning-based methods, require longitudinal data and information on a large number of variables related to a child’s growth (e.g., socioeconomic, family-related factors) in order to predict future obesity-risk. In this paper, we propose three different techniques for three different scenarios to predict childhood obesity based on machine learning approaches and apply them to real data. Our proposed methods predict obesity for children at five years of age using the following three data sets: (1) a single well-child visit, (2) multiple well-child visits under the age of two, and (3) multiple random well-child visits under the age of five. Our models are especially important for situations where only the current patient information is available rather than having multiple data points from regular spaced well-child visits. Our models predict obesity using basic information such as birth BMI, gestational age, BMI measures from well-child visits, and gender. Our models can predict a child’s obesity category (normal, overweight, or obese) at five years of age with an accuracy of 89%, 77%, and 89%, for the three application scenarios, respectively. Therefore, our proposed models can assist healthcare professionals by acting as a decision support tool to aid in predicting childhood obesity early in order to reduce obesity-related complications, and in turn, improve healthcare.
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spelling doaj.art-1007a19355894c6b9607ac0bad92d15b2023-12-01T00:27:06ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202023-01-0123275910.3390/s23020759Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning ClassifiersPritom Kumar Mondal0Kamrul H. Foysal1Bryan A. Norman2Lisaann S. Gittner3Department of Industrial, Manufacturing & Systems Engineering, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USADepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USADepartment of Industrial, Manufacturing & Systems Engineering, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USADepartment of Public Health, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, TX 79430, USAChildhood obesity is a public health concern in the United States. Consequences of childhood obesity include metabolic disease and heart, lung, kidney, and other health-related comorbidities. Therefore, the early determination of obesity risk is needed and predicting the trend of a child’s body mass index (BMI) at an early age is crucial. Early identification of obesity can lead to early prevention. Multiple methods have been tested and evaluated to assess obesity trends in children. Available growth charts help determine a child’s current obesity level but do not predict future obesity risk. The present methods of predicting obesity include regression analysis and machine learning-based classifications and risk factor (threshold)-based categorizations based on specific criteria. All the present techniques, especially current machine learning-based methods, require longitudinal data and information on a large number of variables related to a child’s growth (e.g., socioeconomic, family-related factors) in order to predict future obesity-risk. In this paper, we propose three different techniques for three different scenarios to predict childhood obesity based on machine learning approaches and apply them to real data. Our proposed methods predict obesity for children at five years of age using the following three data sets: (1) a single well-child visit, (2) multiple well-child visits under the age of two, and (3) multiple random well-child visits under the age of five. Our models are especially important for situations where only the current patient information is available rather than having multiple data points from regular spaced well-child visits. Our models predict obesity using basic information such as birth BMI, gestational age, BMI measures from well-child visits, and gender. Our models can predict a child’s obesity category (normal, overweight, or obese) at five years of age with an accuracy of 89%, 77%, and 89%, for the three application scenarios, respectively. Therefore, our proposed models can assist healthcare professionals by acting as a decision support tool to aid in predicting childhood obesity early in order to reduce obesity-related complications, and in turn, improve healthcare.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/2/759childhood obesitymachine learningclassificationBMIwell-child visit
spellingShingle Pritom Kumar Mondal
Kamrul H. Foysal
Bryan A. Norman
Lisaann S. Gittner
Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
Sensors
childhood obesity
machine learning
classification
BMI
well-child visit
title Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
title_full Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
title_fullStr Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
title_short Predicting Childhood Obesity Based on Single and Multiple Well-Child Visit Data Using Machine Learning Classifiers
title_sort predicting childhood obesity based on single and multiple well child visit data using machine learning classifiers
topic childhood obesity
machine learning
classification
BMI
well-child visit
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/2/759
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AT kamrulhfoysal predictingchildhoodobesitybasedonsingleandmultiplewellchildvisitdatausingmachinelearningclassifiers
AT bryananorman predictingchildhoodobesitybasedonsingleandmultiplewellchildvisitdatausingmachinelearningclassifiers
AT lisaannsgittner predictingchildhoodobesitybasedonsingleandmultiplewellchildvisitdatausingmachinelearningclassifiers