Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model

Many well-established models exist for predicting the dispersion of radioactive particles that will be generated in the surrounding environment after a nuclear weapon explosion. However, without exception, almost all models rely on accurate source term parameters, such as DELFIC, DNAF-1, and so on....

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Main Authors: Yang Zheng, Yuyang Wang, Longteng Wang, Xiaolei Chen, Lingzhong Huang, Wei Liu, Xiaoqiang Li, Ming Yang, Peng Li, Shanyi Jiang, Hao Yin, Xinliang Pang, Yunhui Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/5/877
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author Yang Zheng
Yuyang Wang
Longteng Wang
Xiaolei Chen
Lingzhong Huang
Wei Liu
Xiaoqiang Li
Ming Yang
Peng Li
Shanyi Jiang
Hao Yin
Xinliang Pang
Yunhui Wu
author_facet Yang Zheng
Yuyang Wang
Longteng Wang
Xiaolei Chen
Lingzhong Huang
Wei Liu
Xiaoqiang Li
Ming Yang
Peng Li
Shanyi Jiang
Hao Yin
Xinliang Pang
Yunhui Wu
author_sort Yang Zheng
collection DOAJ
description Many well-established models exist for predicting the dispersion of radioactive particles that will be generated in the surrounding environment after a nuclear weapon explosion. However, without exception, almost all models rely on accurate source term parameters, such as DELFIC, DNAF-1, and so on. Unlike nuclear experiments, accurate source term parameters are often not available once a nuclear weapon is used in a real nuclear strike. To address the problems of unclear source term parameters and meteorological conditions during nuclear weapon explosions and the complexity of the identification process, this article proposes a nuclear weapon source term parameter identification method based on a genetic algorithm (GA) and a particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) by combining real-time monitoring data. The results show that both the PSO and the GA are able to identify the source term parameters satisfactorily after optimization, and the prediction accuracy of their main source term parameters is above 98%. When the maximum number of iterations and population size of the PSO and GA were the same, the running time and optimization accuracy of the PSO were better than those of the GA. This study enriches the theory and method of radioactive particle dispersion prediction after a nuclear weapon explosion and is of great significance to the study of environmental radioactive particles.
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spelling doaj.art-1036fe30602f483bba144b5164afe8042023-11-18T00:26:13ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332023-05-0114587710.3390/atmos14050877Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff ModelYang Zheng0Yuyang Wang1Longteng Wang2Xiaolei Chen3Lingzhong Huang4Wei Liu5Xiaoqiang Li6Ming Yang7Peng Li8Shanyi Jiang9Hao Yin10Xinliang Pang11Yunhui Wu12State Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaCollege of Computer and Data Science, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108, ChinaPeking University-Tsinghua University-National Institute of Biological Sciences Joint Graduate Program, School of Life Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaState Key Laboratory of NBC Protection for Civilian, Beijing 102205, ChinaMany well-established models exist for predicting the dispersion of radioactive particles that will be generated in the surrounding environment after a nuclear weapon explosion. However, without exception, almost all models rely on accurate source term parameters, such as DELFIC, DNAF-1, and so on. Unlike nuclear experiments, accurate source term parameters are often not available once a nuclear weapon is used in a real nuclear strike. To address the problems of unclear source term parameters and meteorological conditions during nuclear weapon explosions and the complexity of the identification process, this article proposes a nuclear weapon source term parameter identification method based on a genetic algorithm (GA) and a particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO) by combining real-time monitoring data. The results show that both the PSO and the GA are able to identify the source term parameters satisfactorily after optimization, and the prediction accuracy of their main source term parameters is above 98%. When the maximum number of iterations and population size of the PSO and GA were the same, the running time and optimization accuracy of the PSO were better than those of the GA. This study enriches the theory and method of radioactive particle dispersion prediction after a nuclear weapon explosion and is of great significance to the study of environmental radioactive particles.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/5/877genetic algorithmparticle swarm optimizationnuclear explosionradioactive diffusion
spellingShingle Yang Zheng
Yuyang Wang
Longteng Wang
Xiaolei Chen
Lingzhong Huang
Wei Liu
Xiaoqiang Li
Ming Yang
Peng Li
Shanyi Jiang
Hao Yin
Xinliang Pang
Yunhui Wu
Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
Atmosphere
genetic algorithm
particle swarm optimization
nuclear explosion
radioactive diffusion
title Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
title_full Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
title_fullStr Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
title_full_unstemmed Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
title_short Identification Method of Source Term Parameters of Nuclear Explosion Based on GA and PSO for Lagrange-Gaussian Puff Model
title_sort identification method of source term parameters of nuclear explosion based on ga and pso for lagrange gaussian puff model
topic genetic algorithm
particle swarm optimization
nuclear explosion
radioactive diffusion
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/5/877
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