NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia

The main goal of the paper is to estimate the NAIRU for the Macedonian economy and to discuss the applicability of this indicator. The paper provides time-varying estimates for the period 1998-2012, which are obtained using the Ball and Mankiw (2002) approach, supplemented with the iterativ...

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Main Authors: Trpeski Predrag, Tevdovski Dragan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, Belgrade 2015-01-01
Series:Ekonomski Anali
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2015/0013-32641506167T.pdf
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author Trpeski Predrag
Tevdovski Dragan
author_facet Trpeski Predrag
Tevdovski Dragan
author_sort Trpeski Predrag
collection DOAJ
description The main goal of the paper is to estimate the NAIRU for the Macedonian economy and to discuss the applicability of this indicator. The paper provides time-varying estimates for the period 1998-2012, which are obtained using the Ball and Mankiw (2002) approach, supplemented with the iterative procedure proposed by Ball (2009). The results reveal that the Macedonian NAIRU has ahumpshaped path. The estimation is based on both the LFS unemployment rate and the LFS unemployment rate corrected for employment in the grey economy. The dynamics of the estimated NAIRU stress the ability of the NAIRU to present the cyclical misbalances in a national economy.
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spelling doaj.art-105797d2c15b4a24a50de7febcc28b462022-12-22T01:32:35ZengFaculty of Economics, BelgradeEkonomski Anali0013-32641820-73752015-01-016020616718610.2298/EKA1506167T0013-32641506167TNAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of MacedoniaTrpeski Predrag0Tevdovski Dragan1University Ss. Cyril and Methodius in Skopje, Faculty of economic, Skopje, Republic of MacedoniaUniversity Ss. Cyril and Methodius in Skopje, Faculty of economic, Skopje, Republic of MacedoniaThe main goal of the paper is to estimate the NAIRU for the Macedonian economy and to discuss the applicability of this indicator. The paper provides time-varying estimates for the period 1998-2012, which are obtained using the Ball and Mankiw (2002) approach, supplemented with the iterative procedure proposed by Ball (2009). The results reveal that the Macedonian NAIRU has ahumpshaped path. The estimation is based on both the LFS unemployment rate and the LFS unemployment rate corrected for employment in the grey economy. The dynamics of the estimated NAIRU stress the ability of the NAIRU to present the cyclical misbalances in a national economy.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2015/0013-32641506167T.pdfNAIRUunemploymentinflationMacedonia
spellingShingle Trpeski Predrag
Tevdovski Dragan
NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
Ekonomski Anali
NAIRU
unemployment
inflation
Macedonia
title NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
title_full NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
title_fullStr NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
title_full_unstemmed NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
title_short NAIRU estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate: The case of the Republic of Macedonia
title_sort nairu estimates in a transitional economy with an extremely high unemployment rate the case of the republic of macedonia
topic NAIRU
unemployment
inflation
Macedonia
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2015/0013-32641506167T.pdf
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