One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study

Background: Information about post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) survival have been mostly short-term findings or based on specialized, cardiology referral centers. Objectives: To describe one-year case-fatality rates in the Strategy of Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ERICO) cohort, and to stud...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Itamar Souza Santos, Alessandra Carvalho Goulart, Rodrigo Martins Brandão, Rafael Caire de Oliveira Santos, Márcio Sommer Bittencourt, Débora Sitnik, Alexandre Costa Pereira, Carlos Alberto Pastore, Nelson Samesima, Paulo Andrade Lotufo, Isabela Martins Bensenor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia (SBC) 2015-01-01
Series:Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015005050044&lng=en&tlng=en
_version_ 1828417901474873344
author Itamar Souza Santos
Alessandra Carvalho Goulart
Rodrigo Martins Brandão
Rafael Caire de Oliveira Santos
Márcio Sommer Bittencourt
Débora Sitnik
Alexandre Costa Pereira
Carlos Alberto Pastore
Nelson Samesima
Paulo Andrade Lotufo
Isabela Martins Bensenor
author_facet Itamar Souza Santos
Alessandra Carvalho Goulart
Rodrigo Martins Brandão
Rafael Caire de Oliveira Santos
Márcio Sommer Bittencourt
Débora Sitnik
Alexandre Costa Pereira
Carlos Alberto Pastore
Nelson Samesima
Paulo Andrade Lotufo
Isabela Martins Bensenor
author_sort Itamar Souza Santos
collection DOAJ
description Background: Information about post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) survival have been mostly short-term findings or based on specialized, cardiology referral centers. Objectives: To describe one-year case-fatality rates in the Strategy of Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ERICO) cohort, and to study baseline characteristics as predictors. Methods: We analyzed data from 964 ERICO participants enrolled from February 2009 to December 2012. We assessed vital status by telephone contact and official death certificate searches. The cause of death was determined according to the official death certificates. We used log-rank tests to compare the probabilities of survival across subgroups. We built crude and adjusted (for age, sex and ACS subtype) Cox regression models to study if the ACS subtype or baseline characteristics were independent predictors of all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Results: We identified 110 deaths in the cohort (case-fatality rate, 12.0%). Age [Hazard ratio (HR) = 2.04 per 10 year increase; 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 1.75–2.38], non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (HR = 3.82 ; 95%CI = 2.21–6.60) or ST elevation myocardial infarction (HR = 2.59; 95%CI = 1.38–4.89) diagnoses, and diabetes (HR = 1.78; 95%CI = 1.20‑2.63) were significant risk factors for all-cause mortality in the adjusted models. We found similar results for cardiovascular mortality. A previous coronary artery disease diagnosis was also an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.61; 95%CI = 1.04–2.50), but not for cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion: We found an overall one-year mortality rate of 12.0% in a sample of post-ACS patients in a community, non-specialized hospital in São Paulo, Brazil. Age, ACS subtype, and diabetes were independent predictors of poor one‑year survival for overall and cardiovascular-related causes.
first_indexed 2024-12-10T14:27:53Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1064651a8fad4951b208f6f73ced9214
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1678-4170
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T14:27:53Z
publishDate 2015-01-01
publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia (SBC)
record_format Article
series Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia
spelling doaj.art-1064651a8fad4951b208f6f73ced92142022-12-22T01:45:01ZengSociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia (SBC)Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia1678-41702015-01-0100010.5935/abc.20150044S0066-782X2015005050044One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO StudyItamar Souza SantosAlessandra Carvalho GoulartRodrigo Martins BrandãoRafael Caire de Oliveira SantosMárcio Sommer BittencourtDébora SitnikAlexandre Costa PereiraCarlos Alberto PastoreNelson SamesimaPaulo Andrade LotufoIsabela Martins BensenorBackground: Information about post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS) survival have been mostly short-term findings or based on specialized, cardiology referral centers. Objectives: To describe one-year case-fatality rates in the Strategy of Registry of Acute Coronary Syndrome (ERICO) cohort, and to study baseline characteristics as predictors. Methods: We analyzed data from 964 ERICO participants enrolled from February 2009 to December 2012. We assessed vital status by telephone contact and official death certificate searches. The cause of death was determined according to the official death certificates. We used log-rank tests to compare the probabilities of survival across subgroups. We built crude and adjusted (for age, sex and ACS subtype) Cox regression models to study if the ACS subtype or baseline characteristics were independent predictors of all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Results: We identified 110 deaths in the cohort (case-fatality rate, 12.0%). Age [Hazard ratio (HR) = 2.04 per 10 year increase; 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 1.75–2.38], non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (HR = 3.82 ; 95%CI = 2.21–6.60) or ST elevation myocardial infarction (HR = 2.59; 95%CI = 1.38–4.89) diagnoses, and diabetes (HR = 1.78; 95%CI = 1.20‑2.63) were significant risk factors for all-cause mortality in the adjusted models. We found similar results for cardiovascular mortality. A previous coronary artery disease diagnosis was also an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.61; 95%CI = 1.04–2.50), but not for cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion: We found an overall one-year mortality rate of 12.0% in a sample of post-ACS patients in a community, non-specialized hospital in São Paulo, Brazil. Age, ACS subtype, and diabetes were independent predictors of poor one‑year survival for overall and cardiovascular-related causes.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015005050044&lng=en&tlng=enSíndrome Coronariana Aguda / mortalidadeFatores de RiscoPrognósticoLetalidadeEstudos de Coortes
spellingShingle Itamar Souza Santos
Alessandra Carvalho Goulart
Rodrigo Martins Brandão
Rafael Caire de Oliveira Santos
Márcio Sommer Bittencourt
Débora Sitnik
Alexandre Costa Pereira
Carlos Alberto Pastore
Nelson Samesima
Paulo Andrade Lotufo
Isabela Martins Bensenor
One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia
Síndrome Coronariana Aguda / mortalidade
Fatores de Risco
Prognóstico
Letalidade
Estudos de Coortes
title One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
title_full One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
title_fullStr One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
title_full_unstemmed One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
title_short One-year Mortality after an Acute Coronary Event and its Clinical Predictors: The ERICO Study
title_sort one year mortality after an acute coronary event and its clinical predictors the erico study
topic Síndrome Coronariana Aguda / mortalidade
Fatores de Risco
Prognóstico
Letalidade
Estudos de Coortes
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0066-782X2015005050044&lng=en&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT itamarsouzasantos oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT alessandracarvalhogoulart oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT rodrigomartinsbrandao oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT rafaelcairedeoliveirasantos oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT marciosommerbittencourt oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT deborasitnik oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT alexandrecostapereira oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT carlosalbertopastore oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT nelsonsamesima oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT pauloandradelotufo oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy
AT isabelamartinsbensenor oneyearmortalityafteranacutecoronaryeventanditsclinicalpredictorstheericostudy