Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems

We study the asymptotic duration of optimal stopping problems involving a sequence of independent random variables that are drawn from a known continuous distribution. These variables are observed as a sequence, where no recall of previous observations is permitted, and the objective is to form an o...

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Main Authors: Hugh N. Entwistle, Christopher J. Lustri, Georgy Yu. Sofronov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-02-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/5/652
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author Hugh N. Entwistle
Christopher J. Lustri
Georgy Yu. Sofronov
author_facet Hugh N. Entwistle
Christopher J. Lustri
Georgy Yu. Sofronov
author_sort Hugh N. Entwistle
collection DOAJ
description We study the asymptotic duration of optimal stopping problems involving a sequence of independent random variables that are drawn from a known continuous distribution. These variables are observed as a sequence, where no recall of previous observations is permitted, and the objective is to form an optimal strategy to maximise the expected reward. In our previous work, we presented a methodology, borrowing techniques from applied mathematics, for obtaining asymptotic expressions for the expectation duration of the optimal stopping time where one stop is permitted. In this study, we generalise further to the case where more than one stop is permitted, with an updated objective function of maximising the expected sum of the variables chosen. We formulate a complete generalisation for an exponential family as well as the uniform distribution by utilising an inductive approach in the formulation of the stopping rule. Explicit examples are shown for common probability functions as well as simulations to verify the asymptotic calculations.
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spelling doaj.art-10af30dcd37942c6bfd689dfe864c1ed2024-03-12T16:49:50ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902024-02-0112565210.3390/math12050652Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping ProblemsHugh N. Entwistle0Christopher J. Lustri1Georgy Yu. Sofronov2School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, AustraliaSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW 2006, AustraliaSchool of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, AustraliaWe study the asymptotic duration of optimal stopping problems involving a sequence of independent random variables that are drawn from a known continuous distribution. These variables are observed as a sequence, where no recall of previous observations is permitted, and the objective is to form an optimal strategy to maximise the expected reward. In our previous work, we presented a methodology, borrowing techniques from applied mathematics, for obtaining asymptotic expressions for the expectation duration of the optimal stopping time where one stop is permitted. In this study, we generalise further to the case where more than one stop is permitted, with an updated objective function of maximising the expected sum of the variables chosen. We formulate a complete generalisation for an exponential family as well as the uniform distribution by utilising an inductive approach in the formulation of the stopping rule. Explicit examples are shown for common probability functions as well as simulations to verify the asymptotic calculations.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/5/652sequential decision analysisoptimal stoppingmultiple optimal stoppingsecretary problemsasymptotic approximations
spellingShingle Hugh N. Entwistle
Christopher J. Lustri
Georgy Yu. Sofronov
Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
Mathematics
sequential decision analysis
optimal stopping
multiple optimal stopping
secretary problems
asymptotic approximations
title Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
title_full Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
title_fullStr Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
title_full_unstemmed Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
title_short Asymptotic Duration for Optimal Multiple Stopping Problems
title_sort asymptotic duration for optimal multiple stopping problems
topic sequential decision analysis
optimal stopping
multiple optimal stopping
secretary problems
asymptotic approximations
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/5/652
work_keys_str_mv AT hughnentwistle asymptoticdurationforoptimalmultiplestoppingproblems
AT christopherjlustri asymptoticdurationforoptimalmultiplestoppingproblems
AT georgyyusofronov asymptoticdurationforoptimalmultiplestoppingproblems