Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects
The article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion a...
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
2021-06-01
|
| Series: | Управленческое консультирование |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1689 |
| _version_ | 1797290517580480512 |
|---|---|
| author | P. V. Naumov |
| author_facet | P. V. Naumov |
| author_sort | P. V. Naumov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion and the construction of training data sets as a result of a retrospective analysis of the progress and implementation of individual projects. It is proposed to use methods of trajectory analysis of sequences of events, each of which characterizes the state of risk of project implementation. To test this approach, random sequences of risk events are generated and data analysis methods are applied to these sequences. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T19:23:32Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d8 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1726-1139 1816-8590 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T19:23:32Z |
| publishDate | 2021-06-01 |
| publisher | North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Управленческое консультирование |
| spelling | doaj.art-113a41f758394cf6850336e2524710d82024-02-29T09:36:17ZengNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public AdministrationУправленческое консультирование1726-11391816-85902021-06-010415917310.22394/1726-1139-2021-4-159-1731460Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information ProjectsP. V. Naumov0North-West Institute of Management, Branch of RANEPAThe article deals with the issues of risk management of information projects. We propose not a deductive approach traditionally used in risk analysis, based on knowledge of the main provisions and their concretization in a real situation, but an inductive approach that requires data accumula- tion and the construction of training data sets as a result of a retrospective analysis of the progress and implementation of individual projects. It is proposed to use methods of trajectory analysis of sequences of events, each of which characterizes the state of risk of project implementation. To test this approach, random sequences of risk events are generated and data analysis methods are applied to these sequences.https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1689information projectproject execution risksrisk management methodsrandom processdiscrete markov chainrandom sequence of eventsrandom sequence indicatorsmachine learning methodscluster analysis |
| spellingShingle | P. V. Naumov Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects Управленческое консультирование information project project execution risks risk management methods random process discrete markov chain random sequence of events random sequence indicators machine learning methods cluster analysis |
| title | Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects |
| title_full | Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects |
| title_short | Analysis of the Sequence of Risk States in the Implementation of Information Projects |
| title_sort | analysis of the sequence of risk states in the implementation of information projects |
| topic | information project project execution risks risk management methods random process discrete markov chain random sequence of events random sequence indicators machine learning methods cluster analysis |
| url | https://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1689 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pvnaumov analysisofthesequenceofriskstatesintheimplementationofinformationprojects |