Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?

Abstract Objective: To assess the performance of the modified R2CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Methods: Data of 78 patients who underwent TAVR were retrospectively reviewed. R2CHA2DS2...

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Main Authors: Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu, Semi Ozturk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Cirurgia Cardiovascular
Series:Brazilian Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/pdf/rbccv/v35n2/0102-7638-rbccv-35-02-0145.pdf
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author Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu
Semi Ozturk
author_facet Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu
Semi Ozturk
author_sort Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective: To assess the performance of the modified R2CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Methods: Data of 78 patients who underwent TAVR were retrospectively reviewed. R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was compared with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (EuroSCORE II or ES II) and the transcatheter valve therapytranscatheter aortic valve replacement (TVT-TAVR) risk score. Results: The mean follow-up period was 17.4±9.9 months (maximum 37 months). Early mortality (first 30 days) was observed in 10 (12.8%) patients, whereas mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) was observed in 26 (33.3%) patients. Non-survivors had higher values of R2CHA2DS2-VASc, ES II, and TAVR scores than survivors (P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively). Analysis of Pearson’s correlation revealed that R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was moderately correlated with ES II and TAVR scores (r=0.51, P<0.001; r=0.44, P=0.001, respectively). Pairwise comparisons of R2CHA2DS2-VASc (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.870, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.776-0.964; P<0.001), ES II (AUC: 0.801, 95% CI: 0.703-0.899; P<0.001), and TAVR scores (AUC: 0.730, 95% CI: 0.610-852; P=0.002) showed similar accuracy for predicting mortality. R2CHA2DS2-VASc score is an independent predictor of mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis. A cutoff value of six for R2CHA2DS2-VASc score showed a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 89% for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality. Conclusion: R2CHA2DS2-VASc score, easily calculated from clinical parameters, is associated with prediction of mid-to-longterm mortality in patients undergoing TAVR.
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spelling doaj.art-117e50f72b4c4154bcd88e91606cfe582022-12-22T00:18:38ZengSociedade Brasileira de Cirurgia CardiovascularBrazilian Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery1678-974110.21470/1678-9741-2019-0221Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?Muhsin KalyoncuogluSemi OzturkAbstract Objective: To assess the performance of the modified R2CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Methods: Data of 78 patients who underwent TAVR were retrospectively reviewed. R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was compared with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (EuroSCORE II or ES II) and the transcatheter valve therapytranscatheter aortic valve replacement (TVT-TAVR) risk score. Results: The mean follow-up period was 17.4±9.9 months (maximum 37 months). Early mortality (first 30 days) was observed in 10 (12.8%) patients, whereas mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) was observed in 26 (33.3%) patients. Non-survivors had higher values of R2CHA2DS2-VASc, ES II, and TAVR scores than survivors (P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively). Analysis of Pearson’s correlation revealed that R2CHA2DS2-VASc score was moderately correlated with ES II and TAVR scores (r=0.51, P<0.001; r=0.44, P=0.001, respectively). Pairwise comparisons of R2CHA2DS2-VASc (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.870, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.776-0.964; P<0.001), ES II (AUC: 0.801, 95% CI: 0.703-0.899; P<0.001), and TAVR scores (AUC: 0.730, 95% CI: 0.610-852; P=0.002) showed similar accuracy for predicting mortality. R2CHA2DS2-VASc score is an independent predictor of mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis. A cutoff value of six for R2CHA2DS2-VASc score showed a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 89% for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality. Conclusion: R2CHA2DS2-VASc score, easily calculated from clinical parameters, is associated with prediction of mid-to-longterm mortality in patients undergoing TAVR.http://www.scielo.br/pdf/rbccv/v35n2/0102-7638-rbccv-35-02-0145.pdfAortic ValveTranscatheter Aortic Valve ReplacementConfidence IntervalsFollow-Up StudiesRegression AnalysisSensitivity ans SpecificityAlgorithms
spellingShingle Muhsin Kalyoncuoglu
Semi Ozturk
Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
Brazilian Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery
Aortic Valve
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
Confidence Intervals
Follow-Up Studies
Regression Analysis
Sensitivity ans Specificity
Algorithms
title Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
title_full Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
title_fullStr Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
title_full_unstemmed Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
title_short Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?
title_sort is the newly defined r2cha2ds2 vasc score a predictor for late mortality in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement
topic Aortic Valve
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
Confidence Intervals
Follow-Up Studies
Regression Analysis
Sensitivity ans Specificity
Algorithms
url http://www.scielo.br/pdf/rbccv/v35n2/0102-7638-rbccv-35-02-0145.pdf
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