Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis

Abstract Background The long border of Saudi Arabia with Yemen is the primary route for khat entry to the Kingdom. As of April 2015, the government of SA tightened the border, making it more difficult to import khat into the country. As a result, local user prices of khat probably increased due in p...

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Main Authors: Maged El-Setouhy, Rashad Alsanosy, Anwar M. Makeen, Khalid Yaser Ghailan, Abdullah Alsharqi, Kamaludin Ahmed Sheikh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-05-01
Series:Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13011-019-0208-3
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author Maged El-Setouhy
Rashad Alsanosy
Anwar M. Makeen
Khalid Yaser Ghailan
Abdullah Alsharqi
Kamaludin Ahmed Sheikh
author_facet Maged El-Setouhy
Rashad Alsanosy
Anwar M. Makeen
Khalid Yaser Ghailan
Abdullah Alsharqi
Kamaludin Ahmed Sheikh
author_sort Maged El-Setouhy
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The long border of Saudi Arabia with Yemen is the primary route for khat entry to the Kingdom. As of April 2015, the government of SA tightened the border, making it more difficult to import khat into the country. As a result, local user prices of khat probably increased due in part to higher supply costs and perhaps lower quantities. One anti-drug strategy is to increase consumption cost by increasing the price of supply. We aim in this study to measure the responsiveness of khat demand to price changes. Methods This study used a cross-sectional survey design. Two stage sampling was used to recruit 350 khat chewers from four selected primary healthcare centers in Jazan province (South western province of Saudi Arabia). The data were collected during the first quarter of 2017. This study used both contingent valuation and revealed preference methods to assess the impact of price increases on the purchasing of khat. Graphical analysis, paired-samples t-test, and one-way repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) were used to assess the impact of price increases on khat consumption. Results The study results showed a significant decrease in khat consumption amount (t = 8.63, p ≤ 0.05), frequency (t = 30.42, p ≤ 0.05), and expenditure (t = 34.67, p ≤ 0.05) after the tightening of the Saudi–Yemeni border. Hence khat demand is price elastic. The price elasticity of khat demand in Jazan is estimated to be between − 2.38 and − 1.07. Therefore, each 1% increase in price is associated with 1–2% reduction in quantity demanded. This means khat chewers are relatively responsive to price changes (i.e., khat demand is price elastic). Repeated measures analysis of variance showed price increases significantly affect the quantity {F(4, 2.58) = 257, p ≤ 0.05, ηp2 = 0.423} and frequency {F(4, 1.83) = 415, p ≤ 0.05, ηp2 = 0.543} of khat chewing. Conclusions Increased prices for khat would significantly decrease demand. Accordingly, we recommend implementing law enforcement strategies focused on disrupting the khat supply chain to realize high prices and so discourage use, hence reducing the incidence of khat-related illnesses.
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spelling doaj.art-1193312766a84eb198c20103043ee1612022-12-21T19:40:20ZengBMCSubstance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy1747-597X2019-05-0114111010.1186/s13011-019-0208-3Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysisMaged El-Setouhy0Rashad Alsanosy1Anwar M. Makeen2Khalid Yaser Ghailan3Abdullah Alsharqi4Kamaludin Ahmed Sheikh5Department of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Jazan UniversitySubstance Abuse Research Center (SARC), Jazan UniversityDepartment of Family and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Jazan UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology, Faculty of Public Health &Tropical Medicine, Jazan UniversityPsychcare ClinicsDepartment of Epidemiology, Faculty of Public Health &Tropical Medicine, Jazan UniversityAbstract Background The long border of Saudi Arabia with Yemen is the primary route for khat entry to the Kingdom. As of April 2015, the government of SA tightened the border, making it more difficult to import khat into the country. As a result, local user prices of khat probably increased due in part to higher supply costs and perhaps lower quantities. One anti-drug strategy is to increase consumption cost by increasing the price of supply. We aim in this study to measure the responsiveness of khat demand to price changes. Methods This study used a cross-sectional survey design. Two stage sampling was used to recruit 350 khat chewers from four selected primary healthcare centers in Jazan province (South western province of Saudi Arabia). The data were collected during the first quarter of 2017. This study used both contingent valuation and revealed preference methods to assess the impact of price increases on the purchasing of khat. Graphical analysis, paired-samples t-test, and one-way repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) were used to assess the impact of price increases on khat consumption. Results The study results showed a significant decrease in khat consumption amount (t = 8.63, p ≤ 0.05), frequency (t = 30.42, p ≤ 0.05), and expenditure (t = 34.67, p ≤ 0.05) after the tightening of the Saudi–Yemeni border. Hence khat demand is price elastic. The price elasticity of khat demand in Jazan is estimated to be between − 2.38 and − 1.07. Therefore, each 1% increase in price is associated with 1–2% reduction in quantity demanded. This means khat chewers are relatively responsive to price changes (i.e., khat demand is price elastic). Repeated measures analysis of variance showed price increases significantly affect the quantity {F(4, 2.58) = 257, p ≤ 0.05, ηp2 = 0.423} and frequency {F(4, 1.83) = 415, p ≤ 0.05, ηp2 = 0.543} of khat chewing. Conclusions Increased prices for khat would significantly decrease demand. Accordingly, we recommend implementing law enforcement strategies focused on disrupting the khat supply chain to realize high prices and so discourage use, hence reducing the incidence of khat-related illnesses.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13011-019-0208-3Khat chewing indexPrice elasticity of demandLaw enforcement strategiesOne-way repeated measures ANOVA
spellingShingle Maged El-Setouhy
Rashad Alsanosy
Anwar M. Makeen
Khalid Yaser Ghailan
Abdullah Alsharqi
Kamaludin Ahmed Sheikh
Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy
Khat chewing index
Price elasticity of demand
Law enforcement strategies
One-way repeated measures ANOVA
title Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
title_full Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
title_fullStr Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
title_full_unstemmed Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
title_short Impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior – price elasticity analysis
title_sort impact of khat price increases on consumption behavior price elasticity analysis
topic Khat chewing index
Price elasticity of demand
Law enforcement strategies
One-way repeated measures ANOVA
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13011-019-0208-3
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AT khalidyaserghailan impactofkhatpriceincreasesonconsumptionbehaviorpriceelasticityanalysis
AT abdullahalsharqi impactofkhatpriceincreasesonconsumptionbehaviorpriceelasticityanalysis
AT kamaludinahmedsheikh impactofkhatpriceincreasesonconsumptionbehaviorpriceelasticityanalysis