Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China

Evaluating the economic benefits of tight oil resources is necessary for China to increase its tight oil production and reserves. This study systematically analyzes the uncertainties in tight oil development in China, the factors affecting the tight oil economy, and the coevolution of the economic d...

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Main Authors: Bo Yan, Hongyuan Liu, Xinyan Peng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-01-01
Series:Energy Strategy Reviews
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000257
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author Bo Yan
Hongyuan Liu
Xinyan Peng
author_facet Bo Yan
Hongyuan Liu
Xinyan Peng
author_sort Bo Yan
collection DOAJ
description Evaluating the economic benefits of tight oil resources is necessary for China to increase its tight oil production and reserves. This study systematically analyzes the uncertainties in tight oil development in China, the factors affecting the tight oil economy, and the coevolution of the economic development of tight oil resources from the technology and market perspectives. The results indicate that a positive market environment and technological progress are important for realizing the economic development of tight oil. Four potential scenarios for the development of tight oil resources in China are also identified (i.e., the current scenario, limited scenario, efficient development scenario, and inefficient development scenario), each associated with different internal rates of return (8 %, 14 %, 20 %, and 6 %, respectively).
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spelling doaj.art-11cd790a58e04e158aec5a87c9d155602024-02-08T05:08:52ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2024-01-0151101318Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in ChinaBo Yan0Hongyuan Liu1Xinyan Peng2School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Cheng Du, Si Chuan Province, 610500, PR ChinaCorresponding author.; School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Cheng Du, Si Chuan Province, 610500, PR ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Cheng Du, Si Chuan Province, 610500, PR ChinaEvaluating the economic benefits of tight oil resources is necessary for China to increase its tight oil production and reserves. This study systematically analyzes the uncertainties in tight oil development in China, the factors affecting the tight oil economy, and the coevolution of the economic development of tight oil resources from the technology and market perspectives. The results indicate that a positive market environment and technological progress are important for realizing the economic development of tight oil. Four potential scenarios for the development of tight oil resources in China are also identified (i.e., the current scenario, limited scenario, efficient development scenario, and inefficient development scenario), each associated with different internal rates of return (8 %, 14 %, 20 %, and 6 %, respectively).http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000257Tight oilEconomyScenario analysisChina
spellingShingle Bo Yan
Hongyuan Liu
Xinyan Peng
Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
Energy Strategy Reviews
Tight oil
Economy
Scenario analysis
China
title Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
title_full Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
title_fullStr Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
title_full_unstemmed Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
title_short Scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in China
title_sort scenario analysis to evaluate the economic benefits of tight oil resource development in china
topic Tight oil
Economy
Scenario analysis
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X24000257
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AT hongyuanliu scenarioanalysistoevaluatetheeconomicbenefitsoftightoilresourcedevelopmentinchina
AT xinyanpeng scenarioanalysistoevaluatetheeconomicbenefitsoftightoilresourcedevelopmentinchina