A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT

This article presents the results of a study that aimed to assess whether entrepreneurs have changed their patterns of assessment of the economic situation amid the unprecedented instability and uncertainty in the business environment during the last few years. An econometric analysis was carried ou...

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Main Authors: Agnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS, Anna KOZŁOWSKA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Rzeszow University of Technology 2023-12-01
Series:Humanities and Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.prz.edu.pl/hss/article/view/1597
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author Agnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS
Anna KOZŁOWSKA
author_facet Agnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS
Anna KOZŁOWSKA
author_sort Agnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS
collection DOAJ
description This article presents the results of a study that aimed to assess whether entrepreneurs have changed their patterns of assessment of the economic situation amid the unprecedented instability and uncertainty in the business environment during the last few years. An econometric analysis was carried out using qualitative indicators from the GUS business cycle survey. We distinguished two periods of analysis: relatively stable (from January 2000 to February 2020) and unstable (from March 2020 to January 2023). Our results show that, regardless of the type of indicator and subperiod of analysis, the phenomenon of inertia was the main factor influencing diagnosis indicators. In all analyzed areas of companies’ activity (general situation, financial situation, production) we noted a change in the pattern of impact of forecast indicators on diagnosis indicators; this was the result of a change in the conditions of the external environment (expectations effect).
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spelling doaj.art-11d2fcc219054f88ba95fb6bebc4eaa22024-02-01T11:16:09ZengRzeszow University of TechnologyHumanities and Social Sciences2300-53272300-99182023-12-01304 - part I25726810.7862/rz.2023.hss.561597A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENTAgnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS0Anna KOZŁOWSKA1Kazimierz Wielki University, BydgoszczPoznan University of Economics and BusinessThis article presents the results of a study that aimed to assess whether entrepreneurs have changed their patterns of assessment of the economic situation amid the unprecedented instability and uncertainty in the business environment during the last few years. An econometric analysis was carried out using qualitative indicators from the GUS business cycle survey. We distinguished two periods of analysis: relatively stable (from January 2000 to February 2020) and unstable (from March 2020 to January 2023). Our results show that, regardless of the type of indicator and subperiod of analysis, the phenomenon of inertia was the main factor influencing diagnosis indicators. In all analyzed areas of companies’ activity (general situation, financial situation, production) we noted a change in the pattern of impact of forecast indicators on diagnosis indicators; this was the result of a change in the conditions of the external environment (expectations effect).https://journals.prz.edu.pl/hss/article/view/1597business tendency surveymanufacturing industrynertia phenomenonexpectation effecteconomic instability
spellingShingle Agnieszka SZCZEPKOWSKA-FLIS
Anna KOZŁOWSKA
A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
Humanities and Social Sciences
business tendency survey
manufacturing industry
nertia phenomenon
expectation effect
economic instability
title A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
title_full A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
title_fullStr A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
title_full_unstemmed A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
title_short A PATTERN FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE ECONOMIC SITUATION BY ENTERPRISES IN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
title_sort pattern for assessment of the economic situation by enterprises in an unstable environment
topic business tendency survey
manufacturing industry
nertia phenomenon
expectation effect
economic instability
url https://journals.prz.edu.pl/hss/article/view/1597
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