Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method

Even though Croatia is among the most active EU countries when it comes to tackling undeclared economic activities, not much is known about the effectiveness of numerous policy measures introduced since joining the EU. As there is no systematic approach toward quantification of the undeclared econom...

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Main Author: Josip Franić
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Institute of Economics, Zagreb 2019-01-01
Series:Croatian Economic Survey
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/323358
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author Josip Franić
author_facet Josip Franić
author_sort Josip Franić
collection DOAJ
description Even though Croatia is among the most active EU countries when it comes to tackling undeclared economic activities, not much is known about the effectiveness of numerous policy measures introduced since joining the EU. As there is no systematic approach toward quantification of the undeclared economy in the newest member state, this paper fills the gap by presenting a tailored and robust procedure based on the Multiple Indicators and Multiple Causes (MIMIC) method. The methodology developed is then applied to assess the magnitude of the phenomenon in Croatia for the 2004–2017 period. The analysis reveals that the undeclared economy in Croatia has remained rather stable during the last decade and a half, with its value added ranging between HRK 24.1 and 26.9 billion. Accounting for 7.8 percent of the total GDP in 2017, undeclared undertakings represent a significant obstacle, which should therefore be systematically addressed. What is more, the findings indicate a rising trend, thus challenging the efficiency of the current policy approach by the Croatian government.
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spelling doaj.art-11d42ce910bf400281a50fb033c87fe42024-04-15T15:37:42ZengThe Institute of Economics, ZagrebCroatian Economic Survey1330-48601846-38782019-01-0121154610.15179/ces.21.1.1Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC MethodJosip Franić0Institute of Public Finance, Zagreb, CroatiaEven though Croatia is among the most active EU countries when it comes to tackling undeclared economic activities, not much is known about the effectiveness of numerous policy measures introduced since joining the EU. As there is no systematic approach toward quantification of the undeclared economy in the newest member state, this paper fills the gap by presenting a tailored and robust procedure based on the Multiple Indicators and Multiple Causes (MIMIC) method. The methodology developed is then applied to assess the magnitude of the phenomenon in Croatia for the 2004–2017 period. The analysis reveals that the undeclared economy in Croatia has remained rather stable during the last decade and a half, with its value added ranging between HRK 24.1 and 26.9 billion. Accounting for 7.8 percent of the total GDP in 2017, undeclared undertakings represent a significant obstacle, which should therefore be systematically addressed. What is more, the findings indicate a rising trend, thus challenging the efficiency of the current policy approach by the Croatian government.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/323358undeclared economynon-observed economyMIMIClabor input methodCroatia
spellingShingle Josip Franić
Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
Croatian Economic Survey
undeclared economy
non-observed economy
MIMIC
labor input method
Croatia
title Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
title_full Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
title_fullStr Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
title_full_unstemmed Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
title_short Undeclared Economy in Croatia during the 2004–2017 Period: Quarterly Estimates Using the MIMIC Method
title_sort undeclared economy in croatia during the 2004 2017 period quarterly estimates using the mimic method
topic undeclared economy
non-observed economy
MIMIC
labor input method
Croatia
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/323358
work_keys_str_mv AT josipfranic undeclaredeconomyincroatiaduringthe20042017periodquarterlyestimatesusingthemimicmethod