Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods

Background Often, there is no access to sufficient sample size to estimate the prevalence using the method of direct estimator in all areas. The aim of this study was to compare small area’s Bayesian method and direct method in estimating the prevalence of steatosis in obese and overweight children....

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Main Authors: Hamid Reza Khalkhali, Shahsanam Gheibi, Rasool Gharaaghaji, Alireza Didarloo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mashhad University of Medical Sciences 2016-09-01
Series:International Journal of Pediatrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ijp.mums.ac.ir/article_7377_579afcab1c774f05ccb8e5b3962a86b3.pdf
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author Hamid Reza Khalkhali
Shahsanam Gheibi
Rasool Gharaaghaji
Alireza Didarloo
author_facet Hamid Reza Khalkhali
Shahsanam Gheibi
Rasool Gharaaghaji
Alireza Didarloo
author_sort Hamid Reza Khalkhali
collection DOAJ
description Background Often, there is no access to sufficient sample size to estimate the prevalence using the method of direct estimator in all areas. The aim of this study was to compare small area’s Bayesian method and direct method in estimating the prevalence of steatosis in obese and overweight children. Materials and Methods: In this cross-sectional study, was conducted on 150 overweight and obese children aged 2 to 15 years referred to the Children's digestive clinic of Urmia University of Medical Sciences- Iran, in 2013. After Body mass index (BMI) calculation, children with overweight and obese were assessed in terms of primary tests of obesity screening. Then children with steatosis confirmed by abdominal Ultrasonography, were referred to the laboratory for doing further tests. Steatosis prevalence was estimated by direct and Bayesian method and their efficiency were evaluated using mean-square error Jackknife method. The study data was analyzed using the open BUGS3.1.2 and R2.15.2 software. Results: The findings indicated that estimation of steatosis prevalence in children using Bayesian and direct methods were between 0.3098 to 0.493, and 0.355 to 0.560 respectively, in Health Districts; 0.3098 to 0.502, and 0.355 to 0.550 in Education Districts; 0.321 to 0.582, and 0.357 to 0.615 in age groups; 0.313 to 0.429, and 0.383 to 0.536 in sex groups. In general, according to the results, mean-square error of Bayesian estimation was smaller than direct estimation (P
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spelling doaj.art-11eccb0f39b44e759d81d77e7756fe652022-12-22T04:22:46ZengMashhad University of Medical SciencesInternational Journal of Pediatrics2345-50472345-50552016-09-01493391339710.22038/ijp.2016.73777377Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct MethodsHamid Reza Khalkhali0Shahsanam Gheibi1Rasool Gharaaghaji2Alireza Didarloo3Associate Professor in Biostatistics, Inpatient’s Safety Research Center, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.Associate Professor of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Maternal and Childhood Obesity Research Center, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.Associate Professor in Biostatistics, Department of Health and Preventive Medicine, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.Associate Professor in Health Education and Promotion, Solid Tumor Research Center, Department of Health and Preventive Medicine, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Urmia, Iran.Background Often, there is no access to sufficient sample size to estimate the prevalence using the method of direct estimator in all areas. The aim of this study was to compare small area’s Bayesian method and direct method in estimating the prevalence of steatosis in obese and overweight children. Materials and Methods: In this cross-sectional study, was conducted on 150 overweight and obese children aged 2 to 15 years referred to the Children's digestive clinic of Urmia University of Medical Sciences- Iran, in 2013. After Body mass index (BMI) calculation, children with overweight and obese were assessed in terms of primary tests of obesity screening. Then children with steatosis confirmed by abdominal Ultrasonography, were referred to the laboratory for doing further tests. Steatosis prevalence was estimated by direct and Bayesian method and their efficiency were evaluated using mean-square error Jackknife method. The study data was analyzed using the open BUGS3.1.2 and R2.15.2 software. Results: The findings indicated that estimation of steatosis prevalence in children using Bayesian and direct methods were between 0.3098 to 0.493, and 0.355 to 0.560 respectively, in Health Districts; 0.3098 to 0.502, and 0.355 to 0.550 in Education Districts; 0.321 to 0.582, and 0.357 to 0.615 in age groups; 0.313 to 0.429, and 0.383 to 0.536 in sex groups. In general, according to the results, mean-square error of Bayesian estimation was smaller than direct estimation (Phttp://ijp.mums.ac.ir/article_7377_579afcab1c774f05ccb8e5b3962a86b3.pdfChildrenIranObeseoverweightSmall Area EstimationSteatosis
spellingShingle Hamid Reza Khalkhali
Shahsanam Gheibi
Rasool Gharaaghaji
Alireza Didarloo
Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
International Journal of Pediatrics
Children
Iran
Obese
overweight
Small Area Estimation
Steatosis
title Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
title_full Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
title_fullStr Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
title_full_unstemmed Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
title_short Estimating Steatosis Prevalence in Overweight and Obese Children: Comparison of Bayesian Small Area and Direct Methods
title_sort estimating steatosis prevalence in overweight and obese children comparison of bayesian small area and direct methods
topic Children
Iran
Obese
overweight
Small Area Estimation
Steatosis
url http://ijp.mums.ac.ir/article_7377_579afcab1c774f05ccb8e5b3962a86b3.pdf
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