Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study)
The article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting de- cision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a p...
| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Brazilian Political Science Association
2007-03-01
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| Series: | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.bpsr.org.br/index.php/bpsr/article/view/58/50 |
| _version_ | 1819213379154214912 |
|---|---|
| author | Yan Carreirão |
| author_facet | Yan Carreirão |
| author_sort | Yan Carreirão |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting de- cision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a post-electoral survey conducted on a national sample of voters. In the models, taken as a whole, politi- cal opinions did not have much weight in the voting decision. Furthermore, they are unable to “explain” a very large share of voters’ positioning on a left-right scale or on a scale of voters’ “party sentiments”. All these “political” variables taken as a whole, in turn, “explain” only part of the evaluations that voters make of the government’s performance. The analysis shows that Brazilian voters’ voting deci- sion seems rather varied, since some variables were shown to be relevant to “ex- plain” the vote for a candidate, but not for the others. The variables shown to be more frequent (for all four candidates analysed) and with more considerable weight were: voters’ religion, their “party sentiments”, their positioning on a left-right scale, the evaluations made of the then current government (in actual fact impor- tant only for the vote for Serra, the government’s candidate) and the candidates’ attributes (especially “reliability” and “preparedness/competence”). |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-23T06:57:55Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-11f1c32a88b9483c9e12ec63f19be646 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1981-3821 1981-3821 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-23T06:57:55Z |
| publishDate | 2007-03-01 |
| publisher | Brazilian Political Science Association |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-11f1c32a88b9483c9e12ec63f19be6462022-12-21T17:56:16ZengBrazilian Political Science AssociationBrazilian Political Science Review1981-38211981-38212007-03-011170101Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study)Yan Carreirão0Unievrsidade Federal de Santa CatarinaThe article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting de- cision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a post-electoral survey conducted on a national sample of voters. In the models, taken as a whole, politi- cal opinions did not have much weight in the voting decision. Furthermore, they are unable to “explain” a very large share of voters’ positioning on a left-right scale or on a scale of voters’ “party sentiments”. All these “political” variables taken as a whole, in turn, “explain” only part of the evaluations that voters make of the government’s performance. The analysis shows that Brazilian voters’ voting deci- sion seems rather varied, since some variables were shown to be relevant to “ex- plain” the vote for a candidate, but not for the others. The variables shown to be more frequent (for all four candidates analysed) and with more considerable weight were: voters’ religion, their “party sentiments”, their positioning on a left-right scale, the evaluations made of the then current government (in actual fact impor- tant only for the vote for Serra, the government’s candidate) and the candidates’ attributes (especially “reliability” and “preparedness/competence”).http://www.bpsr.org.br/index.php/bpsr/article/view/58/50Brazilian politicspresidential electionselectoral behaviour |
| spellingShingle | Yan Carreirão Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) Brazilian Political Science Review Brazilian politics presidential elections electoral behaviour |
| title | Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) |
| title_full | Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) |
| title_fullStr | Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) |
| title_short | Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election: An analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) |
| title_sort | relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election an analysis of the eseb brazilian electoral study |
| topic | Brazilian politics presidential elections electoral behaviour |
| url | http://www.bpsr.org.br/index.php/bpsr/article/view/58/50 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT yancarreirao relevantfactorsforthevotingdecisioninthe2002presidentialelectionananalysisoftheesebbrazilianelectoralstudy |