The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration

Integrating natural components in flood defence infrastructure can add resilience to sea-level rise. Natural foreshores can keep pace with sea-level rise by accumulating sediment and attenuate waves before reaching the adjacent flood defences. In this study we address how natural foreshores affect t...

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Main Authors: Richard Marijnissen, Matthijs Kok, Carolien Kroeze, Jantsje van Loon-Steensma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/1/42
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author Richard Marijnissen
Matthijs Kok
Carolien Kroeze
Jantsje van Loon-Steensma
author_facet Richard Marijnissen
Matthijs Kok
Carolien Kroeze
Jantsje van Loon-Steensma
author_sort Richard Marijnissen
collection DOAJ
description Integrating natural components in flood defence infrastructure can add resilience to sea-level rise. Natural foreshores can keep pace with sea-level rise by accumulating sediment and attenuate waves before reaching the adjacent flood defences. In this study we address how natural foreshores affect the future need for dike heightening. A simplified model of vertical marsh accretion was combined with a wave model and a probabilistic evaluation of dike failure by overtopping. The sensitivity of a marsh-dike system was evaluated in relation to a combination of processes: (1) sea-level rise, (2) changes in sediment concentration, (3) a retreat of the marsh edge, and (4) compaction of the marsh. Results indicate that foreshore processes considerably affect the need for dike heightening in the future. At a low sea-level rise rate, the marshes can accrete such that dike heightening is partially mitigated. But with sea-level rise accelerating, a threshold is reached where dike heightening needs to compensate for the loss of marshes, and for increasing water levels. The level of the threshold depends mostly on the delivery of sediment and degree of compaction on the marsh; with sufficient width of the marsh, lateral erosion only has a minor effect. The study shows how processes and practices that hamper or enhance marsh development today exacerbate or alleviate the challenge of flood protection posed by accelerated sea-level rise.
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spelling doaj.art-1211f4b11f1546989903e72c018cb0572022-12-21T21:33:40ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122020-01-01814210.3390/jmse8010042jmse8010042The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based ExplorationRichard Marijnissen0Matthijs Kok1Carolien Kroeze2Jantsje van Loon-Steensma3Water Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The NetherlandsFaculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, The NetherlandsWater Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The NetherlandsWater Systems and Global Change group, Wageningen University & Research, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The NetherlandsIntegrating natural components in flood defence infrastructure can add resilience to sea-level rise. Natural foreshores can keep pace with sea-level rise by accumulating sediment and attenuate waves before reaching the adjacent flood defences. In this study we address how natural foreshores affect the future need for dike heightening. A simplified model of vertical marsh accretion was combined with a wave model and a probabilistic evaluation of dike failure by overtopping. The sensitivity of a marsh-dike system was evaluated in relation to a combination of processes: (1) sea-level rise, (2) changes in sediment concentration, (3) a retreat of the marsh edge, and (4) compaction of the marsh. Results indicate that foreshore processes considerably affect the need for dike heightening in the future. At a low sea-level rise rate, the marshes can accrete such that dike heightening is partially mitigated. But with sea-level rise accelerating, a threshold is reached where dike heightening needs to compensate for the loss of marshes, and for increasing water levels. The level of the threshold depends mostly on the delivery of sediment and degree of compaction on the marsh; with sufficient width of the marsh, lateral erosion only has a minor effect. The study shows how processes and practices that hamper or enhance marsh development today exacerbate or alleviate the challenge of flood protection posed by accelerated sea-level rise.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/1/42climate adaptationflood protectionsalt marsh
spellingShingle Richard Marijnissen
Matthijs Kok
Carolien Kroeze
Jantsje van Loon-Steensma
The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
climate adaptation
flood protection
salt marsh
title The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
title_full The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
title_fullStr The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
title_full_unstemmed The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
title_short The Sensitivity of a Dike-Marsh System to Sea-Level Rise—A Model-Based Exploration
title_sort sensitivity of a dike marsh system to sea level rise a model based exploration
topic climate adaptation
flood protection
salt marsh
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/8/1/42
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