Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization

Accurate forecasting of short-term power load is an important condition for the safe and economic operation of the power system. To improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting for the power system, a short-term load forecasting method based on key feature optimization is proposed. Firstly, t...

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Main Authors: ZHU Geng, WANG Bo, HE Xu, YU Yinshu, BAI Wenbo
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: zhejiang electric power 2023-08-01
Series:Zhejiang dianli
Subjects:
Online Access:https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=2477c590-062b-45e9-8612-3aec401f3b56
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author ZHU Geng
WANG Bo
HE Xu
YU Yinshu
BAI Wenbo
author_facet ZHU Geng
WANG Bo
HE Xu
YU Yinshu
BAI Wenbo
author_sort ZHU Geng
collection DOAJ
description Accurate forecasting of short-term power load is an important condition for the safe and economic operation of the power system. To improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting for the power system, a short-term load forecasting method based on key feature optimization is proposed. Firstly, the construction method of the meteorological features, daily type features and historical load features affecting the short-term load of the power system is optimized, which can provide more prior knowledge for the load forecasting model. Then, considering the characteristics of the input features and the output prediction vector, a short-term power load forecasting model combining the convolutional neural network and the fully connected layer is constructed. Finally, the effect of the short-term load forecasting method for the power system based on the key feature optimization in the actual load forecasting task is validated by a numerical example. The example result shows that the key feature optimization of meteorological features, daily type features and historical load features is conducive to improving the accuracy of the short-term load forecasting for the power system.
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spelling doaj.art-121d83eb223e46f69b6fcb5c7b9676052023-08-30T00:46:03Zzhozhejiang electric powerZhejiang dianli1007-18812023-08-01428465310.19585/j.zjdl.2023080061007-1881(2023)08-0046-08Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimizationZHU Geng0WANG Bo1HE Xu2YU Yinshu3BAI Wenbo4State Grid Ningbo Power Supply Company, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000, ChinaState Grid Ningbo Power Supply Company, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000, ChinaState Grid Ningbo Power Supply Company, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000, ChinaState Grid Ningbo Power Supply Company, Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000, ChinaNingbo Electric Power Design Institute Co., Ltd., Ningbo, Zhejiang 315000, ChinaAccurate forecasting of short-term power load is an important condition for the safe and economic operation of the power system. To improve the accuracy of short-term load forecasting for the power system, a short-term load forecasting method based on key feature optimization is proposed. Firstly, the construction method of the meteorological features, daily type features and historical load features affecting the short-term load of the power system is optimized, which can provide more prior knowledge for the load forecasting model. Then, considering the characteristics of the input features and the output prediction vector, a short-term power load forecasting model combining the convolutional neural network and the fully connected layer is constructed. Finally, the effect of the short-term load forecasting method for the power system based on the key feature optimization in the actual load forecasting task is validated by a numerical example. The example result shows that the key feature optimization of meteorological features, daily type features and historical load features is conducive to improving the accuracy of the short-term load forecasting for the power system.https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=2477c590-062b-45e9-8612-3aec401f3b56feature optimizationload forecastingconvolutional neural networkfully connected layer
spellingShingle ZHU Geng
WANG Bo
HE Xu
YU Yinshu
BAI Wenbo
Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
Zhejiang dianli
feature optimization
load forecasting
convolutional neural network
fully connected layer
title Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
title_full Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
title_fullStr Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
title_full_unstemmed Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
title_short Short-term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
title_sort short term load forecasting method for power system based on key feature optimization
topic feature optimization
load forecasting
convolutional neural network
fully connected layer
url https://zjdl.cbpt.cnki.net/WKE3/WebPublication/paperDigest.aspx?paperID=2477c590-062b-45e9-8612-3aec401f3b56
work_keys_str_mv AT zhugeng shorttermloadforecastingmethodforpowersystembasedonkeyfeatureoptimization
AT wangbo shorttermloadforecastingmethodforpowersystembasedonkeyfeatureoptimization
AT hexu shorttermloadforecastingmethodforpowersystembasedonkeyfeatureoptimization
AT yuyinshu shorttermloadforecastingmethodforpowersystembasedonkeyfeatureoptimization
AT baiwenbo shorttermloadforecastingmethodforpowersystembasedonkeyfeatureoptimization