Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III

A regional wave forecasting system in East Asia, including the Korean Peninsula, was built based on WAVEWATCH III using offshore wind forecast data from the Global Data Assimilation Prediction System. The numerical simulations were performed on the sensitivity of the interaction between input wind a...

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Main Authors: Min Roh, Sang-Myeong Oh, Pil-Hun Chang, Hyun-Suk Kang, Hyung-Suk Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-05-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/1038
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author Min Roh
Sang-Myeong Oh
Pil-Hun Chang
Hyun-Suk Kang
Hyung-Suk Kim
author_facet Min Roh
Sang-Myeong Oh
Pil-Hun Chang
Hyun-Suk Kang
Hyung-Suk Kim
author_sort Min Roh
collection DOAJ
description A regional wave forecasting system in East Asia, including the Korean Peninsula, was built based on WAVEWATCH III using offshore wind forecast data from the Global Data Assimilation Prediction System. The numerical simulations were performed on the sensitivity of the interaction between input wind and wave development. The forecasts for each condition were compared and verified with the observational data of marine meteorological buoys from 1 August to 30 September 2020. The sensitivity conditions were configured to have a specific range of variables related to the directional distribution of input winds (SINA0) and variables indicating the development of input wind–wave (CDFAC) in the ST6. The results were presented by calculating the mean error and root mean square error for all observation points. Overall, as the CDFAC increased, the mean error tended to decrease according to the forecast time and the root mean square error increased. Although the effect of SINA0 at the same CDFAC was insignificant, when SINA0 increased in sections where the significant wave height decreased rapidly, the significant wave height tended to decrease. In addition, the main variables that affect the physical process of wind–wave interaction should be considered to improve wave model forecasting performance and accuracy.
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spelling doaj.art-123c2930fe7c48048f3157179e8da70f2023-11-18T02:00:24ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122023-05-01115103810.3390/jmse11051038Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH IIIMin Roh0Sang-Myeong Oh1Pil-Hun Chang2Hyun-Suk Kang3Hyung-Suk Kim4Ocean Space Development and Energy Research Department, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Busan 49111, Republic of KoreaForecast Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Republic of KoreaForecast Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Republic of KoreaForecast Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Civil Engineering, Kunsan National University, Gunsan-si 54150, Republic of KoreaA regional wave forecasting system in East Asia, including the Korean Peninsula, was built based on WAVEWATCH III using offshore wind forecast data from the Global Data Assimilation Prediction System. The numerical simulations were performed on the sensitivity of the interaction between input wind and wave development. The forecasts for each condition were compared and verified with the observational data of marine meteorological buoys from 1 August to 30 September 2020. The sensitivity conditions were configured to have a specific range of variables related to the directional distribution of input winds (SINA0) and variables indicating the development of input wind–wave (CDFAC) in the ST6. The results were presented by calculating the mean error and root mean square error for all observation points. Overall, as the CDFAC increased, the mean error tended to decrease according to the forecast time and the root mean square error increased. Although the effect of SINA0 at the same CDFAC was insignificant, when SINA0 increased in sections where the significant wave height decreased rapidly, the significant wave height tended to decrease. In addition, the main variables that affect the physical process of wind–wave interaction should be considered to improve wave model forecasting performance and accuracy.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/1038global data assimilation prediction systemWAVEWATCH IIIST6wind–wave interaction
spellingShingle Min Roh
Sang-Myeong Oh
Pil-Hun Chang
Hyun-Suk Kang
Hyung-Suk Kim
Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
global data assimilation prediction system
WAVEWATCH III
ST6
wind–wave interaction
title Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
title_full Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
title_fullStr Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
title_short Sensitivity Analysis of Forecasting Performance for ST6 Parameterization in High-Resolution Wave Model Based on WAVEWATCH III
title_sort sensitivity analysis of forecasting performance for st6 parameterization in high resolution wave model based on wavewatch iii
topic global data assimilation prediction system
WAVEWATCH III
ST6
wind–wave interaction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/11/5/1038
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