Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects

During implementation of construction projects, durations of activities are affected by various factors. Because of this, both during the planning phase of the project as well as the construction phase, managers try to estimate, or predict, the length of any delays that may occur. Such estimates all...

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Main Author: Ibadov N.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2015-06-01
Series:Archives of Civil Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/ace.2015.61.issue-2/ace-2015-0012/ace-2015-0012.xml?format=INT
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author Ibadov N.
author_facet Ibadov N.
author_sort Ibadov N.
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description During implementation of construction projects, durations of activities are affected by various factors. Because of this, both during the planning phase of the project as well as the construction phase, managers try to estimate, or predict, the length of any delays that may occur. Such estimates allow for the ability to take appropriate action in terms of planning and management during the execution of construction works. This paper presents the use of the non-deterministic concept for describing the uncertainty of estimating works duration. The concept uses the theory of fuzzy sets. The author describes a method for fuzzy estimations of construction works duration based on the fact that uncertain data is an inherent factor in the conditions of construction projects. An example application of the method is presented. The author shows a fuzzy estimation for the duration of an activity, taking into consideration the distorting influence caused by malfunctioning construction equipment and delivery delays of construction materials.
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spelling doaj.art-1263f66c5f99458bb6126b9c60738cef2022-12-22T00:41:15ZengPolish Academy of SciencesArchives of Civil Engineering1230-29452015-06-01612233410.1515/ace-2015-0012ace-2015-0012Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction ProjectsIbadov N.0 PhD., Eng., Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Al. Armii Ludowej 16, 00-637 Warsaw, PolandDuring implementation of construction projects, durations of activities are affected by various factors. Because of this, both during the planning phase of the project as well as the construction phase, managers try to estimate, or predict, the length of any delays that may occur. Such estimates allow for the ability to take appropriate action in terms of planning and management during the execution of construction works. This paper presents the use of the non-deterministic concept for describing the uncertainty of estimating works duration. The concept uses the theory of fuzzy sets. The author describes a method for fuzzy estimations of construction works duration based on the fact that uncertain data is an inherent factor in the conditions of construction projects. An example application of the method is presented. The author shows a fuzzy estimation for the duration of an activity, taking into consideration the distorting influence caused by malfunctioning construction equipment and delivery delays of construction materials.http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/ace.2015.61.issue-2/ace-2015-0012/ace-2015-0012.xml?format=INTconstruction delaysfuzzy setsfuzzy logicfuzzy rulesdelay factorsopóźnienia czasów wykonania robótzbiory rozmytewnioskowanie rozmytereguły rozmyteczynniki opóźniające budowę
spellingShingle Ibadov N.
Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
Archives of Civil Engineering
construction delays
fuzzy sets
fuzzy logic
fuzzy rules
delay factors
opóźnienia czasów wykonania robót
zbiory rozmyte
wnioskowanie rozmyte
reguły rozmyte
czynniki opóźniające budowę
title Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
title_full Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
title_fullStr Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
title_full_unstemmed Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
title_short Fuzzy Estimation Of Activities Duration In Construction Projects
title_sort fuzzy estimation of activities duration in construction projects
topic construction delays
fuzzy sets
fuzzy logic
fuzzy rules
delay factors
opóźnienia czasów wykonania robót
zbiory rozmyte
wnioskowanie rozmyte
reguły rozmyte
czynniki opóźniające budowę
url http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/ace.2015.61.issue-2/ace-2015-0012/ace-2015-0012.xml?format=INT
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