Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians

Abstract Background The development of labour productivity is relevant for accurately planning future staffing requirements, especially in sectors where technological developments may drive labour substitution. The present study investigates how labour productivity has developed across Dutch medical...

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Main Authors: Jos L. T. Blank, Thomas K. Niaounakis, Vivian G. Valdmanis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-08-01
Series:Human Resources for Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12960-020-00500-z
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author Jos L. T. Blank
Thomas K. Niaounakis
Vivian G. Valdmanis
author_facet Jos L. T. Blank
Thomas K. Niaounakis
Vivian G. Valdmanis
author_sort Jos L. T. Blank
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The development of labour productivity is relevant for accurately planning future staffing requirements, especially in sectors where technological developments may drive labour substitution. The present study investigates how labour productivity has developed across Dutch medical specialists (2007–2017) and discusses its implications for workforce planning, also in relation to the existing literature. Methods A regression model is developed in which the number of full-time equivalents is related to production (admissions), hospital characteristics and a trend parameter. The trend parameter captures the average annual change in the number of full-time equivalents per production output and is a measure for labour productivity. The model is applied to a micro-data set of Dutch hospitals in the period 2007–2017 across 24 different specialties using regression methods. Results The results indicate an increase in the number of full-time equivalents per admission has increased for most specialisms and that labour productivity has thus decreased. However, there is considerable heterogeneity and uncertainty across different specialisms. Conclusions The results amplify the issue of medical personnel shortages driven by the growing demand for health care. The research outcomes are linked to the existing literature regarding physicians’ productivity. Changes in accountability such as using relative value units, incentive payments, use of staff and mid-level providers, and technology have been discussed, and some consensus has been reached.
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spelling doaj.art-12c5e2e97bbb4363a50c50145052781d2022-12-21T21:17:05ZengBMCHuman Resources for Health1478-44912020-08-011811810.1186/s12960-020-00500-zBiased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physiciansJos L. T. Blank0Thomas K. Niaounakis1Vivian G. Valdmanis2Institute of Public Sector Efficiency Studies, Delft University of TechnologyInstitute of Public Sector Efficiency Studies, Delft University of TechnologyWestern Michigan UniversityAbstract Background The development of labour productivity is relevant for accurately planning future staffing requirements, especially in sectors where technological developments may drive labour substitution. The present study investigates how labour productivity has developed across Dutch medical specialists (2007–2017) and discusses its implications for workforce planning, also in relation to the existing literature. Methods A regression model is developed in which the number of full-time equivalents is related to production (admissions), hospital characteristics and a trend parameter. The trend parameter captures the average annual change in the number of full-time equivalents per production output and is a measure for labour productivity. The model is applied to a micro-data set of Dutch hospitals in the period 2007–2017 across 24 different specialties using regression methods. Results The results indicate an increase in the number of full-time equivalents per admission has increased for most specialisms and that labour productivity has thus decreased. However, there is considerable heterogeneity and uncertainty across different specialisms. Conclusions The results amplify the issue of medical personnel shortages driven by the growing demand for health care. The research outcomes are linked to the existing literature regarding physicians’ productivity. Changes in accountability such as using relative value units, incentive payments, use of staff and mid-level providers, and technology have been discussed, and some consensus has been reached.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12960-020-00500-zLabour demandMedical specialistsTechnological developmentsProductivity
spellingShingle Jos L. T. Blank
Thomas K. Niaounakis
Vivian G. Valdmanis
Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
Human Resources for Health
Labour demand
Medical specialists
Technological developments
Productivity
title Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
title_full Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
title_fullStr Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
title_full_unstemmed Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
title_short Biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
title_sort biased technical change in hospital care and the demand for physicians
topic Labour demand
Medical specialists
Technological developments
Productivity
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12960-020-00500-z
work_keys_str_mv AT josltblank biasedtechnicalchangeinhospitalcareandthedemandforphysicians
AT thomaskniaounakis biasedtechnicalchangeinhospitalcareandthedemandforphysicians
AT viviangvaldmanis biasedtechnicalchangeinhospitalcareandthedemandforphysicians