Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants

Abstract Background The association of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) with mortality risk is rarely studied, and neither are the durations of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Whether the association patterns of CMD durations with mortality change as individuals progress from one CMD t...

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Main Authors: Yuting Han, Yizhen Hu, Canqing Yu, Dianjianyi Sun, Yuanjie Pang, Pei Pei, Ling Yang, Yiping Chen, Huaidong Du, Jingchao Liu, Dan Schmidt, Daniel Avery, Junshi Chen, Zhengming Chen, Liming Li, Jun Lv
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-06-01
Series:Cardiovascular Diabetology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-023-01858-9
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author Yuting Han
Yizhen Hu
Canqing Yu
Dianjianyi Sun
Yuanjie Pang
Pei Pei
Ling Yang
Yiping Chen
Huaidong Du
Jingchao Liu
Dan Schmidt
Daniel Avery
Junshi Chen
Zhengming Chen
Liming Li
Jun Lv
author_facet Yuting Han
Yizhen Hu
Canqing Yu
Dianjianyi Sun
Yuanjie Pang
Pei Pei
Ling Yang
Yiping Chen
Huaidong Du
Jingchao Liu
Dan Schmidt
Daniel Avery
Junshi Chen
Zhengming Chen
Liming Li
Jun Lv
author_sort Yuting Han
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The association of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) with mortality risk is rarely studied, and neither are the durations of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Whether the association patterns of CMD durations with mortality change as individuals progress from one CMD to CMM is unclear. Methods Data from China Kadoorie Biobank of 512,720 participants aged 30–79 was used. CMM was defined as the simultaneous presence of two or more CMDs of interest, including diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the duration-dependent associations of CMDs and CMM with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. All information on exposures of interest was updated during follow-up. Results During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 99,770 participants experienced at least one incident CMD, and 56,549 deaths were documented. Among 463,178 participants free of three CMDs at baseline, compared with no CMD during follow-up, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) between CMM and all-cause mortality, mortality from circulatory system diseases, respiratory system diseases, cancer, and other causes were 2.93 (2.80–3.07), 5.05 (4.74–5.37), 2.72 (2.35–3.14), 1.30 (1.16–1.45), and 2.30 (2.02–2.61), respectively. All CMDs exhibited a high mortality risk in the first year of diagnosis. Subsequently, with prolonged disease duration, mortality risk increased for diabetes, decreased for IHD, and sustained at a high level for stroke. With the presence of CMM, the above association estimates inflated, but the pattern of which remained. Conclusion Among Chinese adults, mortality risk increased with the number of the CMDs and changed with prolonged disease duration, the patterns of which varied among the three CMDs.
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spelling doaj.art-12c5e2fa72654610a34012b0ae5865f02023-06-18T11:05:51ZengBMCCardiovascular Diabetology1475-28402023-06-0122111010.1186/s12933-023-01858-9Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participantsYuting Han0Yizhen Hu1Canqing Yu2Dianjianyi Sun3Yuanjie Pang4Pei Pei5Ling Yang6Yiping Chen7Huaidong Du8Jingchao Liu9Dan Schmidt10Daniel Avery11Junshi Chen12Zhengming Chen13Liming Li14Jun Lv15Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness & ResponseMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of OxfordMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of OxfordMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of OxfordNCDs Prevention and Control Department, Wuzhong CDCClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordChina National Center for Food Safety Risk AssessmentClinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of OxfordDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityAbstract Background The association of incident cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) with mortality risk is rarely studied, and neither are the durations of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Whether the association patterns of CMD durations with mortality change as individuals progress from one CMD to CMM is unclear. Methods Data from China Kadoorie Biobank of 512,720 participants aged 30–79 was used. CMM was defined as the simultaneous presence of two or more CMDs of interest, including diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the duration-dependent associations of CMDs and CMM with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. All information on exposures of interest was updated during follow-up. Results During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 99,770 participants experienced at least one incident CMD, and 56,549 deaths were documented. Among 463,178 participants free of three CMDs at baseline, compared with no CMD during follow-up, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) between CMM and all-cause mortality, mortality from circulatory system diseases, respiratory system diseases, cancer, and other causes were 2.93 (2.80–3.07), 5.05 (4.74–5.37), 2.72 (2.35–3.14), 1.30 (1.16–1.45), and 2.30 (2.02–2.61), respectively. All CMDs exhibited a high mortality risk in the first year of diagnosis. Subsequently, with prolonged disease duration, mortality risk increased for diabetes, decreased for IHD, and sustained at a high level for stroke. With the presence of CMM, the above association estimates inflated, but the pattern of which remained. Conclusion Among Chinese adults, mortality risk increased with the number of the CMDs and changed with prolonged disease duration, the patterns of which varied among the three CMDs.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-023-01858-9Cardiometabolic diseaseMultimorbidityMortalityProspective cohort
spellingShingle Yuting Han
Yizhen Hu
Canqing Yu
Dianjianyi Sun
Yuanjie Pang
Pei Pei
Ling Yang
Yiping Chen
Huaidong Du
Jingchao Liu
Dan Schmidt
Daniel Avery
Junshi Chen
Zhengming Chen
Liming Li
Jun Lv
Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
Cardiovascular Diabetology
Cardiometabolic disease
Multimorbidity
Mortality
Prospective cohort
title Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
title_full Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
title_fullStr Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
title_full_unstemmed Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
title_short Duration-dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million participants
title_sort duration dependent impact of cardiometabolic diseases and multimorbidity on all cause and cause specific mortality a prospective cohort study of 0 5 million participants
topic Cardiometabolic disease
Multimorbidity
Mortality
Prospective cohort
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-023-01858-9
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