Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels

Abstract Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent grou...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tiasha Saha Roy, Satyaki Mazumder, Koel Das
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2021-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0
_version_ 1818431522836840448
author Tiasha Saha Roy
Satyaki Mazumder
Koel Das
author_facet Tiasha Saha Roy
Satyaki Mazumder
Koel Das
author_sort Tiasha Saha Roy
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent group decisions. Our study consisted of a random target detection task in natural scenes, where human subjects (18 subjects, 7 female) detected the presence or absence of a random target as indicated by the cue word displayed prior to stimulus display. Concurrently the neural activities (EEG signals) were recorded. A separate behavioural experiment was performed by different subjects (20 subjects, 11 female) on the same set of images to categorize the tasks according to their difficulty levels. We demonstrate that the weighted average of individual decision confidence/neural decision variables produces significantly better performance than the frequently used majority pooling algorithm. Further, the classification error rates from individual judgement were found to increase with increasing task difficulty. This error could be significantly reduced upon combining the individual decisions using group aggregation rules. Using statistical tests, we show that combining all available participants is unnecessary to achieve minimum classification error rate. We also try to explore if group aggregation benefits depend on the correlation between the individual judgements of the group and our results seem to suggest that reduced inter-subject correlation can improve collective decision making for a fixed difficulty level.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T15:50:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-12e132b141e04d839dabb9df78bcc6b6
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-2322
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T15:50:39Z
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj.art-12e132b141e04d839dabb9df78bcc6b62022-12-21T22:55:22ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222021-01-0111111310.1038/s41598-020-80500-0Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levelsTiasha Saha Roy0Satyaki Mazumder1Koel Das2Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research KolkataDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research KolkataDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research KolkataAbstract Decades of research on collective decision making has claimed that aggregated judgment of multiple individuals is more accurate than expert individual judgement. A longstanding problem in this regard has been to determine how decisions of individuals can be combined to form intelligent group decisions. Our study consisted of a random target detection task in natural scenes, where human subjects (18 subjects, 7 female) detected the presence or absence of a random target as indicated by the cue word displayed prior to stimulus display. Concurrently the neural activities (EEG signals) were recorded. A separate behavioural experiment was performed by different subjects (20 subjects, 11 female) on the same set of images to categorize the tasks according to their difficulty levels. We demonstrate that the weighted average of individual decision confidence/neural decision variables produces significantly better performance than the frequently used majority pooling algorithm. Further, the classification error rates from individual judgement were found to increase with increasing task difficulty. This error could be significantly reduced upon combining the individual decisions using group aggregation rules. Using statistical tests, we show that combining all available participants is unnecessary to achieve minimum classification error rate. We also try to explore if group aggregation benefits depend on the correlation between the individual judgements of the group and our results seem to suggest that reduced inter-subject correlation can improve collective decision making for a fixed difficulty level.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0
spellingShingle Tiasha Saha Roy
Satyaki Mazumder
Koel Das
Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
Scientific Reports
title Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_full Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_fullStr Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_full_unstemmed Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_short Wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
title_sort wisdom of crowds benefits perceptual decision making across difficulty levels
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-80500-0
work_keys_str_mv AT tiashasaharoy wisdomofcrowdsbenefitsperceptualdecisionmakingacrossdifficultylevels
AT satyakimazumder wisdomofcrowdsbenefitsperceptualdecisionmakingacrossdifficultylevels
AT koeldas wisdomofcrowdsbenefitsperceptualdecisionmakingacrossdifficultylevels