Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City

The quarantine and stay-at-home measures implemented by most governments significantly impacted the volume and distribution of crime, and already, a body of literature exists that focuses on the effects of lockdown on crime. However, the effects of lockdown on firearm violence have yet to be studied...

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Main Authors: Enrique García-Tejeda, Gustavo Fondevila, Oscar S. Siordia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-08-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/8/540
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author Enrique García-Tejeda
Gustavo Fondevila
Oscar S. Siordia
author_facet Enrique García-Tejeda
Gustavo Fondevila
Oscar S. Siordia
author_sort Enrique García-Tejeda
collection DOAJ
description The quarantine and stay-at-home measures implemented by most governments significantly impacted the volume and distribution of crime, and already, a body of literature exists that focuses on the effects of lockdown on crime. However, the effects of lockdown on firearm violence have yet to be studied. Within this context, this study analyzes reports of gunshots in Mexico City registered on Twitter from October 2018 to 2019 (pre-COVID-19) and from October 2019 to 2020 (during COVID-19), using a combination of spatial (nearest neighbor ratio, Ripley’s K function and kernel estimation) and non-spatial (Fisher’s exact test) methods. The results indicate a spatial concentration of gunshot reports in Mexico City and a reduction in frequency of reports during the pandemic. While they show no change in the overall concentration of gunshots during lockdown, they do indicate an expansion in the patterns of spatial intensity (moving from the west to the center of the city). One possible explanation is the capacity of possible victims of firearm crimes in certain municipalities to comply with lockdown measures and thus avoid exposure to such crimes.
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spelling doaj.art-12e26ff8fd6841cc97926f4a13b2137d2023-11-22T07:53:24ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642021-08-0110854010.3390/ijgi10080540Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico CityEnrique García-Tejeda0Gustavo Fondevila1Oscar S. Siordia2Center for Research and Teaching of Economics, Division of Legal Studies, Mexico City 01210, MexicoCenter for Research and Teaching of Economics, Division of Legal Studies, Mexico City 01210, MexicoNational Geointeligence Laboratory, Center for Research in Geospatial Information Sciences, Mexico City 14240, MexicoThe quarantine and stay-at-home measures implemented by most governments significantly impacted the volume and distribution of crime, and already, a body of literature exists that focuses on the effects of lockdown on crime. However, the effects of lockdown on firearm violence have yet to be studied. Within this context, this study analyzes reports of gunshots in Mexico City registered on Twitter from October 2018 to 2019 (pre-COVID-19) and from October 2019 to 2020 (during COVID-19), using a combination of spatial (nearest neighbor ratio, Ripley’s K function and kernel estimation) and non-spatial (Fisher’s exact test) methods. The results indicate a spatial concentration of gunshot reports in Mexico City and a reduction in frequency of reports during the pandemic. While they show no change in the overall concentration of gunshots during lockdown, they do indicate an expansion in the patterns of spatial intensity (moving from the west to the center of the city). One possible explanation is the capacity of possible victims of firearm crimes in certain municipalities to comply with lockdown measures and thus avoid exposure to such crimes.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/8/540gunshotsTwitterpoint pattern analysisMexico CityCOVID-19lockdown
spellingShingle Enrique García-Tejeda
Gustavo Fondevila
Oscar S. Siordia
Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
gunshots
Twitter
point pattern analysis
Mexico City
COVID-19
lockdown
title Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
title_full Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
title_fullStr Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
title_short Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
title_sort spatial analysis of gunshot reports on twitter in mexico city
topic gunshots
Twitter
point pattern analysis
Mexico City
COVID-19
lockdown
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/10/8/540
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