The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms

This paper examines the impact of the tariff increase implemented by the U.S. in 2018 on Chinese firms' export and subsequent employment adjustment. Under the influence of front run shipment and expected stock pile, the export volume increased by 10% after the tariff increase in 2018. While fir...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yang Ding, Yuanchun Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co. Ltd. 2023-09-01
Series:China Economic Quarterly International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666933123000308
_version_ 1797633259164663808
author Yang Ding
Yuanchun Liu
author_facet Yang Ding
Yuanchun Liu
author_sort Yang Ding
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the impact of the tariff increase implemented by the U.S. in 2018 on Chinese firms' export and subsequent employment adjustment. Under the influence of front run shipment and expected stock pile, the export volume increased by 10% after the tariff increase in 2018. While firm employment remains stable, the average working hour and wage increased. In 2019, with the impact of tariff increase gradually emerging, the export volume declined significantly. However, Chinese exporter did not cut jobs on a large scale. Instead, they reduced the per capita working hour and other employment costs, leading to a simultaneous decline in wage and non-cash benefits. The latter contributes to more than 42% of the decline. Our study indicates that the impact of tariff on employment is mainly reflected in the intensive rather than extensive margin.
first_indexed 2024-03-11T11:51:33Z
format Article
id doaj.art-12e9442405b54afeb8fb493cc631826d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2666-9331
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-11T11:51:33Z
publishDate 2023-09-01
publisher KeAi Communications Co. Ltd.
record_format Article
series China Economic Quarterly International
spelling doaj.art-12e9442405b54afeb8fb493cc631826d2023-11-09T04:12:00ZengKeAi Communications Co. Ltd.China Economic Quarterly International2666-93312023-09-0133155166The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firmsYang Ding0Yuanchun Liu1School of Economics, Renmin University of China, China; Corresponding author.Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, ChinaThis paper examines the impact of the tariff increase implemented by the U.S. in 2018 on Chinese firms' export and subsequent employment adjustment. Under the influence of front run shipment and expected stock pile, the export volume increased by 10% after the tariff increase in 2018. While firm employment remains stable, the average working hour and wage increased. In 2019, with the impact of tariff increase gradually emerging, the export volume declined significantly. However, Chinese exporter did not cut jobs on a large scale. Instead, they reduced the per capita working hour and other employment costs, leading to a simultaneous decline in wage and non-cash benefits. The latter contributes to more than 42% of the decline. Our study indicates that the impact of tariff on employment is mainly reflected in the intensive rather than extensive margin.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666933123000308Tariff increaseemployment sizelabor income
spellingShingle Yang Ding
Yuanchun Liu
The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
China Economic Quarterly International
Tariff increase
employment size
labor income
title The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
title_full The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
title_fullStr The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
title_short The Impact of tariff increase on export and employment of Chinese firms
title_sort impact of tariff increase on export and employment of chinese firms
topic Tariff increase
employment size
labor income
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666933123000308
work_keys_str_mv AT yangding theimpactoftariffincreaseonexportandemploymentofchinesefirms
AT yuanchunliu theimpactoftariffincreaseonexportandemploymentofchinesefirms
AT yangding impactoftariffincreaseonexportandemploymentofchinesefirms
AT yuanchunliu impactoftariffincreaseonexportandemploymentofchinesefirms