Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space

The sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surfac...

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Main Authors: Alexandr Volvach, Galina Kurbasova, Larisa Volvach
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-02-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023002062
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author Alexandr Volvach
Galina Kurbasova
Larisa Volvach
author_facet Alexandr Volvach
Galina Kurbasova
Larisa Volvach
author_sort Alexandr Volvach
collection DOAJ
description The sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surface air temperature during the period 1980–2019 in the city of Krasnodar (Russia). We used data from ground based (World Data Center) and space based (POWER project) measurements. A comparison of the data showed that the discrepancies in ground and space based measurements of surface air temperatures until 1990 do not exceed the data error (s=±0.7 °C). After 1990, the most significant short-term discrepancies were observed in 2014 (−1.12°С) and 2016 (1.33°С). An analysis of the forecast model of the Earth's surface air average annual temperature for 1918–2020 indicates a gradual decrease in the average annual temperature even in the presence of short-term impulses of its increase. The rate of decrease in the average annual temperature from ground based observations is slightly higher than from space based observations, which is probably due to a more complete consideration of local conditions in ground based observations.
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spelling doaj.art-13130cede3a545e4acc56b84cdea1ff32023-03-02T04:59:52ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-02-0192e12999Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from spaceAlexandr Volvach0Galina Kurbasova1Larisa Volvach2Corresponding author.; Radio Astronomy and Geodynamics Department of Crimean Astrophysical Observatory, Katsively, RT-22, Crimea, UkraineRadio Astronomy and Geodynamics Department of Crimean Astrophysical Observatory, Katsively, RT-22, Crimea, UkraineRadio Astronomy and Geodynamics Department of Crimean Astrophysical Observatory, Katsively, RT-22, Crimea, UkraineThe sum of all currently known facts confirms the existence of a global warming process. The development models of this process are statistical in nature and often do not take into account the specifics of local conditions. This fact confirms our analysis of measurements of the average annual surface air temperature during the period 1980–2019 in the city of Krasnodar (Russia). We used data from ground based (World Data Center) and space based (POWER project) measurements. A comparison of the data showed that the discrepancies in ground and space based measurements of surface air temperatures until 1990 do not exceed the data error (s=±0.7 °C). After 1990, the most significant short-term discrepancies were observed in 2014 (−1.12°С) and 2016 (1.33°С). An analysis of the forecast model of the Earth's surface air average annual temperature for 1918–2020 indicates a gradual decrease in the average annual temperature even in the presence of short-term impulses of its increase. The rate of decrease in the average annual temperature from ground based observations is slightly higher than from space based observations, which is probably due to a more complete consideration of local conditions in ground based observations.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023002062Space based measurementsGround based measurementsAverage annual temperatureForecastNumerical models
spellingShingle Alexandr Volvach
Galina Kurbasova
Larisa Volvach
Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
Heliyon
Space based measurements
Ground based measurements
Average annual temperature
Forecast
Numerical models
title Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_full Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_fullStr Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_short Analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
title_sort analysis and numerical simulation of temperature measurements made on earth and from space
topic Space based measurements
Ground based measurements
Average annual temperature
Forecast
Numerical models
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844023002062
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