Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia

Designating the ideal shipping route can spare expenses, enlarge profits and improve the competitiveness of shipping companies. Liner shipping route choice is mainly contingent on fuel cost, which always contributes the major proportion of the ship's operating cost. Although many studies on thi...

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Main Authors: Linh Bui-Duy, Ngoc Vu-Thi-Minh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-03-01
Series:Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300249
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author Linh Bui-Duy
Ngoc Vu-Thi-Minh
author_facet Linh Bui-Duy
Ngoc Vu-Thi-Minh
author_sort Linh Bui-Duy
collection DOAJ
description Designating the ideal shipping route can spare expenses, enlarge profits and improve the competitiveness of shipping companies. Liner shipping route choice is mainly contingent on fuel cost, which always contributes the major proportion of the ship's operating cost. Although many studies on this topic have been carried out, none are based on the fuel consumption forecast model designed by the advanced machine learning method. This paper provides a platform idea for selecting the optimal operating route for container ships to minimize fuel cost by using an asymmetric traveling salesman problem (ATSP) algorithm solution, in which the fuel consumption model for the route is estimated based on the deep-machine learning method. Five input variables are given in the model including average velocity, sailing time, ship's capacity, wind speed, and wind direction. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the model is 5.89%, indicating that the predictive result obtains a very high accuracy, close to 95%. The optimal model is thus applied in combination with ATSP to address the optimal solution for a certain route.
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spelling doaj.art-1317e59534b1457bac7ac782bf130a302022-12-21T19:45:42ZengElsevierAsian Journal of Shipping and Logistics2092-52122021-03-01371111Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in AsiaLinh Bui-Duy0Ngoc Vu-Thi-Minh1School of Economics and International Business, Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Viet NamCorresponding author.; School of Economics and International Business, Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Viet NamDesignating the ideal shipping route can spare expenses, enlarge profits and improve the competitiveness of shipping companies. Liner shipping route choice is mainly contingent on fuel cost, which always contributes the major proportion of the ship's operating cost. Although many studies on this topic have been carried out, none are based on the fuel consumption forecast model designed by the advanced machine learning method. This paper provides a platform idea for selecting the optimal operating route for container ships to minimize fuel cost by using an asymmetric traveling salesman problem (ATSP) algorithm solution, in which the fuel consumption model for the route is estimated based on the deep-machine learning method. Five input variables are given in the model including average velocity, sailing time, ship's capacity, wind speed, and wind direction. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the model is 5.89%, indicating that the predictive result obtains a very high accuracy, close to 95%. The optimal model is thus applied in combination with ATSP to address the optimal solution for a certain route.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300249Asymmetric traveling salesman problemShip fuel consumption modelLiner shippingRoute choice optimizationDeep-learning neural networkContainer ships
spellingShingle Linh Bui-Duy
Ngoc Vu-Thi-Minh
Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics
Asymmetric traveling salesman problem
Ship fuel consumption model
Liner shipping
Route choice optimization
Deep-learning neural network
Container ships
title Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
title_full Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
title_fullStr Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
title_full_unstemmed Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
title_short Utilization of a deep learning-based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in Asia
title_sort utilization of a deep learning based fuel consumption model in choosing a liner shipping route for container ships in asia
topic Asymmetric traveling salesman problem
Ship fuel consumption model
Liner shipping
Route choice optimization
Deep-learning neural network
Container ships
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2092521220300249
work_keys_str_mv AT linhbuiduy utilizationofadeeplearningbasedfuelconsumptionmodelinchoosingalinershippingrouteforcontainershipsinasia
AT ngocvuthiminh utilizationofadeeplearningbasedfuelconsumptionmodelinchoosingalinershippingrouteforcontainershipsinasia