Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters

Abstract Electricity theft is a primary concern for utility providers, as it leads to substantial financial losses. To address the issue, a novel extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)‐based model utilizing the consumers’ electricity consumption patterns for analysis is proposed for electricity theft d...

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Main Authors: Asif Iqbal Kawoosa, Deepak Prashar, Muhammad Faheem, Nishant Jha, Arfat Ahmad Khan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-11-01
Series:IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12997
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author Asif Iqbal Kawoosa
Deepak Prashar
Muhammad Faheem
Nishant Jha
Arfat Ahmad Khan
author_facet Asif Iqbal Kawoosa
Deepak Prashar
Muhammad Faheem
Nishant Jha
Arfat Ahmad Khan
author_sort Asif Iqbal Kawoosa
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Electricity theft is a primary concern for utility providers, as it leads to substantial financial losses. To address the issue, a novel extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)‐based model utilizing the consumers’ electricity consumption patterns for analysis is proposed for electricity theft detection (ETD). To remove the imbalance in the real‐world electricity consumption dataset and ensure an even distribution of theft and non‐theft data instances, six different artificially created theft attacks were used. Moreover, the utilization of the XGBoost algorithm for classification, especially to identify malicious instances of electricity theft, yielded commendable accuracy rates and a minimal occurrence of false positives. The proposed model identifies electricity theft specific to the regions, utilizing electricity consumption parameters, and other variables as input features. The authors’ model outperformed existing benchmarks like k‐neural networks, light gradient boost, random forest, support vector machine, decision tree, and AdaBoost. The simulation results using the false attacks for balancing the dataset have improved the proposed model's performance, achieving a precision, recall, and F1‐score of 96%, 95%, and 95%, respectively. The results of the detection rate and the false positive rate (FPR) of the proposed XGBoost‐based detection model have achieved 96% and 3%, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-13305cfcf4fe4f87ab49c9c6abae4ed52023-11-03T06:13:53ZengWileyIET Generation, Transmission & Distribution1751-86871751-86952023-11-0117214794480910.1049/gtd2.12997Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart metersAsif Iqbal Kawoosa0Deepak Prashar1Muhammad Faheem2Nishant Jha3Arfat Ahmad Khan4School of Computer Applications Lovely Professional University Phagwara Punjab IndiaSchool of Computer Science & Engineering Lovely Professional University Phagwara Punjab IndiaSchool of Technology and Innovations University of Vaasa Vaasa FinlandSchool of Computer Science & Engineering Lovely Professional University Phagwara Punjab IndiaDepartment of Computer Science College of Computing Khon Kaen University Khon Kaen ThailandAbstract Electricity theft is a primary concern for utility providers, as it leads to substantial financial losses. To address the issue, a novel extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)‐based model utilizing the consumers’ electricity consumption patterns for analysis is proposed for electricity theft detection (ETD). To remove the imbalance in the real‐world electricity consumption dataset and ensure an even distribution of theft and non‐theft data instances, six different artificially created theft attacks were used. Moreover, the utilization of the XGBoost algorithm for classification, especially to identify malicious instances of electricity theft, yielded commendable accuracy rates and a minimal occurrence of false positives. The proposed model identifies electricity theft specific to the regions, utilizing electricity consumption parameters, and other variables as input features. The authors’ model outperformed existing benchmarks like k‐neural networks, light gradient boost, random forest, support vector machine, decision tree, and AdaBoost. The simulation results using the false attacks for balancing the dataset have improved the proposed model's performance, achieving a precision, recall, and F1‐score of 96%, 95%, and 95%, respectively. The results of the detection rate and the false positive rate (FPR) of the proposed XGBoost‐based detection model have achieved 96% and 3%, respectively.https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12997electricity supply industrysmart meters
spellingShingle Asif Iqbal Kawoosa
Deepak Prashar
Muhammad Faheem
Nishant Jha
Arfat Ahmad Khan
Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
electricity supply industry
smart meters
title Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
title_full Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
title_fullStr Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
title_full_unstemmed Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
title_short Using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
title_sort using machine learning ensemble method for detection of energy theft in smart meters
topic electricity supply industry
smart meters
url https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.12997
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