Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran

The regional labor migration is responsive to regional differences of unemployment rate which is interrelated with fundamentals of housing market. This paper analyzes the relationship between labor and housing markets in 30 provinces of Iran. It uses Vermeulen and Ommeren (2005) model in a panel dat...

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Main Authors: Ali Akbar Gholizadeh, Behnaz Kamyab
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Tarbiat Modares University 2015-11-01
Series:پژوهشهای اقتصادی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-7954-en.pdf
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author Ali Akbar Gholizadeh
Behnaz Kamyab
author_facet Ali Akbar Gholizadeh
Behnaz Kamyab
author_sort Ali Akbar Gholizadeh
collection DOAJ
description The regional labor migration is responsive to regional differences of unemployment rate which is interrelated with fundamentals of housing market. This paper analyzes the relationship between labor and housing markets in 30 provinces of Iran. It uses Vermeulen and Ommeren (2005) model in a panel data for regions and an Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model in the country over the period 1998-2011. The estimation results indicate that most of provinces with high housing prices on average have also low volatility in unemployment rates. The workers in high-unemployment regions are compensated through housing markets, since the prices of land and housing and living expenses are lower in these regions than ones with low unemployment. In addition, the propensity of households to get housing loan decreases and the housing price falls despite high risk of unemployment. The risk of getting unemployed raises the income uncertainty and reduces the housing price. This indicates a negative relationship between housing price and unemployment rate. The test for causality shows that this relationship is bidirectional in provincial level, so that provinces having high unemployment rates are compensated by better conditions of housing market which means low housing prices.
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spelling doaj.art-134b3c298ed143d795df2bcacc61cc2b2023-06-15T20:20:51ZfasTarbiat Modares Universityپژوهشهای اقتصادی1735-67682980-78322015-11-011533966Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of IranAli Akbar Gholizadeh0Behnaz Kamyab1 Associate Professor in Economics, Bu-Ali Sina University, (E-mail: z_aliak@yahoo.com) Ph.D. Candidate of Economics, Bu-Ali Sina University, (E-mail: kamyab213@yahoo.com) The regional labor migration is responsive to regional differences of unemployment rate which is interrelated with fundamentals of housing market. This paper analyzes the relationship between labor and housing markets in 30 provinces of Iran. It uses Vermeulen and Ommeren (2005) model in a panel data for regions and an Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model in the country over the period 1998-2011. The estimation results indicate that most of provinces with high housing prices on average have also low volatility in unemployment rates. The workers in high-unemployment regions are compensated through housing markets, since the prices of land and housing and living expenses are lower in these regions than ones with low unemployment. In addition, the propensity of households to get housing loan decreases and the housing price falls despite high risk of unemployment. The risk of getting unemployed raises the income uncertainty and reduces the housing price. This indicates a negative relationship between housing price and unemployment rate. The test for causality shows that this relationship is bidirectional in provincial level, so that provinces having high unemployment rates are compensated by better conditions of housing market which means low housing prices.http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-7954-en.pdfregional unemploymentland and housing marketscompensating differentialspanel data
spellingShingle Ali Akbar Gholizadeh
Behnaz Kamyab
Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
پژوهشهای اقتصادی
regional unemployment
land and housing markets
compensating differentials
panel data
title Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
title_full Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
title_fullStr Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
title_full_unstemmed Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
title_short Regional Unemployment Compensation in Housing Markets of Iran
title_sort regional unemployment compensation in housing markets of iran
topic regional unemployment
land and housing markets
compensating differentials
panel data
url http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-7954-en.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT aliakbargholizadeh regionalunemploymentcompensationinhousingmarketsofiran
AT behnazkamyab regionalunemploymentcompensationinhousingmarketsofiran