Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region

Since huge earthquakes are expected along plate subduction zones such as the Japan Trench and Nankai Trough, the estimation of coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit is essential for immediate response and preliminary measures to reduce damage. Recently, analysis considering the complex topogr...

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Main Authors: Sota Murakami, Tsuyoshi Ichimura, Kohei Fujita, Takane Hori, Yusaku Ohta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:GeoHazards
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/9
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author Sota Murakami
Tsuyoshi Ichimura
Kohei Fujita
Takane Hori
Yusaku Ohta
author_facet Sota Murakami
Tsuyoshi Ichimura
Kohei Fujita
Takane Hori
Yusaku Ohta
author_sort Sota Murakami
collection DOAJ
description Since huge earthquakes are expected along plate subduction zones such as the Japan Trench and Nankai Trough, the estimation of coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit is essential for immediate response and preliminary measures to reduce damage. Recently, analysis considering the complex topography and underground structure of the plate subduction zone has been performed for improving the estimation performance. However, the three-dimensional (3D) crustal structural model needs to be improved continuously. In this paper, we obtained Green’s functions for 3D crustal structural models with ambiguity by 3D crustal deformation analysis, and the coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit were estimated. Here we enabled the calculation of many Green’s functions with different physical properties of the 3D crustal structure by utilizing a GPU-based 3D crustal deformation analysis method that significantly reduces the analysis cost. The physical properties on the upper plate’s side, which are located above the plate boundary fault, were changed. We found no significant difference in the estimation performance, except for the upper crust, which most of the fault slip area is in contact with, in the case of coseismic slip estimation. In contrast, the coseismic slip estimation when the properties of the upper crust was changed had a significant error, and a negative slip was estimated at the deep part of the plate boundary where no slip was originally given.
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spelling doaj.art-13794e0a078f49308eeec2f8c9faebcc2023-11-23T16:49:22ZengMDPI AGGeoHazards2624-795X2022-04-013216217710.3390/geohazards3020009Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough RegionSota Murakami0Tsuyoshi Ichimura1Kohei Fujita2Takane Hori3Yusaku Ohta4Earthquake Research Institute and Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-0032, JapanEarthquake Research Institute and Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-0032, JapanEarthquake Research Institute and Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo, Tokyo 113-0032, JapanR&D Center for Earthquake and Tsunami, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka 237-0061, JapanResearch Center for Prediction of Earthquakes and Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, Sendai 980-8576, JapanSince huge earthquakes are expected along plate subduction zones such as the Japan Trench and Nankai Trough, the estimation of coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit is essential for immediate response and preliminary measures to reduce damage. Recently, analysis considering the complex topography and underground structure of the plate subduction zone has been performed for improving the estimation performance. However, the three-dimensional (3D) crustal structural model needs to be improved continuously. In this paper, we obtained Green’s functions for 3D crustal structural models with ambiguity by 3D crustal deformation analysis, and the coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit were estimated. Here we enabled the calculation of many Green’s functions with different physical properties of the 3D crustal structure by utilizing a GPU-based 3D crustal deformation analysis method that significantly reduces the analysis cost. The physical properties on the upper plate’s side, which are located above the plate boundary fault, were changed. We found no significant difference in the estimation performance, except for the upper crust, which most of the fault slip area is in contact with, in the case of coseismic slip estimation. In contrast, the coseismic slip estimation when the properties of the upper crust was changed had a significant error, and a negative slip was estimated at the deep part of the plate boundary where no slip was originally given.https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/9finite element methodgeodetic inversionOpenACC
spellingShingle Sota Murakami
Tsuyoshi Ichimura
Kohei Fujita
Takane Hori
Yusaku Ohta
Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
GeoHazards
finite element method
geodetic inversion
OpenACC
title Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
title_full Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
title_fullStr Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
title_short Impact of Ambiguity of Physical Properties of Three-Dimensional Crustal Structure Model on Coseismic Slip and Interseismic Slip Deficit in the Nankai Trough Region
title_sort impact of ambiguity of physical properties of three dimensional crustal structure model on coseismic slip and interseismic slip deficit in the nankai trough region
topic finite element method
geodetic inversion
OpenACC
url https://www.mdpi.com/2624-795X/3/2/9
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