Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization

In this paper, a novel hybrid model of decomposition and deep learning embedded with GA optimization was proposed to forecast 24-hour ahead wind speed. The historical wind speed time series was pre-processed and then decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decom...

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Main Authors: Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen, Quoc Bao Phan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-11-01
Series:Energy Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722009581
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author Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen
Quoc Bao Phan
author_facet Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen
Quoc Bao Phan
author_sort Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, a novel hybrid model of decomposition and deep learning embedded with GA optimization was proposed to forecast 24-hour ahead wind speed. The historical wind speed time series was pre-processed and then decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition. Each IMFs then was trained and tested through a models of CNN-Bidirectional LSTM model. The hyperparameters of the hybrid CNN-Bi-LSTM model was optimized using GA. CNN can extract the internal characteristics of the time series directly meanwhile Bi-LSTM network can utilize the information in both forward and backward directions completely. The forecasting results of each IMFs were reconstructed to obtain the final forecast. The proposed method was applied to real WS dataset in Hanoi compared with 6 other methods. The result shows that the proposed method has demonstrated much better performance than the other methods.
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spelling doaj.art-137bf53cf103499aa58c152ad23b19fe2023-01-20T04:24:59ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-0185360Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimizationThi Hoai Thu Nguyen0Quoc Bao Phan1Corresponding author.; Hanoi University of Science and Technology, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Viet NamHanoi University of Science and Technology, School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Viet NamIn this paper, a novel hybrid model of decomposition and deep learning embedded with GA optimization was proposed to forecast 24-hour ahead wind speed. The historical wind speed time series was pre-processed and then decomposed into intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition. Each IMFs then was trained and tested through a models of CNN-Bidirectional LSTM model. The hyperparameters of the hybrid CNN-Bi-LSTM model was optimized using GA. CNN can extract the internal characteristics of the time series directly meanwhile Bi-LSTM network can utilize the information in both forward and backward directions completely. The forecasting results of each IMFs were reconstructed to obtain the final forecast. The proposed method was applied to real WS dataset in Hanoi compared with 6 other methods. The result shows that the proposed method has demonstrated much better performance than the other methods.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722009581Wind speed forecastHybrid modelDecompositionCNN-Bi-LSTMGA optimization
spellingShingle Thi Hoai Thu Nguyen
Quoc Bao Phan
Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
Energy Reports
Wind speed forecast
Hybrid model
Decomposition
CNN-Bi-LSTM
GA optimization
title Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
title_full Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
title_fullStr Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
title_full_unstemmed Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
title_short Hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of EEMD, CNN-Bi-LSTM embedded with GA optimization
title_sort hourly day ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid model of eemd cnn bi lstm embedded with ga optimization
topic Wind speed forecast
Hybrid model
Decomposition
CNN-Bi-LSTM
GA optimization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722009581
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